Housing

Pulte Sets New Bar For Builders (PHM, XHB, ITB)

PulteGroup, Inc. (NYSE: PHM) is often thought of by many as the bogey of the US Homebuilding sector.  If so,  the company is giving a forecast that might mean profits in 2010 despite a small loss reported.  The builder said its loss narrowed to -$0.03 EPS rather than estimates from Thomson Reuters of -$0.22 EPS.  PulteGroup’s loss a year ago was a whopping -$2.02 EPS on a loss of $514.8 million.  What a difference time can make.

The builder said that it recorded fewer impairment charges and said its land-cost writedowns were lower.  Here is the most important notion of all and it may set a new hurdle for other homebuilders to keep up their share price performance: Pulte believes that it is in the position to be profitable this year.  Thomson Reuters expects a loss at -$0.43 EPS, and the profit expectation for 2011 is $0.33 EPS.

At a $13.10 close on Tuesday, its 52-week range is $7.84 to $13.91…. At 8:15 AM EST we have shares trading up around $13.20 rather than through the roof.  Much of the news may have already been in the stock.

SPDR S&P Homebuilders (NYSE: XHB) closed at $18.86 yesterday and will be one to watch. More importantly and more directly is the iShares Dow Jones US Home Construction (NYSE: ITB) ETF, where Pulte is over 10% of the weighting.

JON C. OGG

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