Following a value of 6.0 points in March, the overall indicator is forecasting 5.9 points for April 2012. The upward trend of the consumer climate over the last six months has therefore ceased, for now at least.
Germans believe that their purchasing power has been undermined by energy costs. But, up until now Germany’s economy has continued to expand, and business confidence has remained relatively good based on recent data from the German Ifo business-climate index. That means that the only nations of any size in the EU with growing economies are Germany and France. The importance of the trend cannot be overstated since these are the two largest nations in the region based on GDP. Now, the growth of GDPs in Germany and France are threatened for the same reason as in the US. Oil and gas prices have started to become overwhelming.