Three-Year Treasury Yield at Seven-Month High

By Paul Ausick Updated Mar 26, 11:01PM EDT · Published Nov 6, 1:48PM EST

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The U.S. Treasury auctioned $32 billion in three-year note today at a yield of 0.392%. Demand was down, from a four-auction average of 3.73 times the amount sold to 3.41 times. As a result, the yield was the highest since April.

We noted earlier today that there has been some significant movement on what are normally thought of as inflation trades. Gold and silver are both up, crude oil is up, even natural gas is trading higher.

But if demand for Treasuries is lower, what do we make of that in conjunction with today’s price movements? If Treasury yields are rising, that would seem to indicate that investors and traders prefer equities, and today is a risk-on kind of day.

And how are equities doing? The DJIA is up about 1%, the S&P 500 is up about 1.2%, and the Nasdaq is up about 0.6%. Not exactly a bull-run, but positive.

So, what and who are traders betting on in the presidential race? Inflation or risk, Obama or Romney?

Paul Ausick

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About the Author Paul Ausick →

Paul Ausick has been writing for 247Wallst.com for more than a decade. He has written extensively on investing in the energy, defense, and technology sectors. In a previous life, he wrote technical documentation and managed a marketing communications group in Silicon Valley.

He has a bachelor's degree in English from the University of Chicago and now lives in Montana, where he fishes for trout in the summer and stays inside during the winter.