To smooth out the weekly data, the four-week average fell by 2,000 to 375,750. The broader measurement of the army of unemployed is measured by the continuing claims (with a one-week lag) and that figure fell by 130,000 to 3,437,000 for the week ended January 21.
With an FOMC outlook of 8.2% to 8.5% in unemployment rates in 2012 and with economists mostly expecting 8.5% unemployment on Friday, today’s data shows no reason to expect much difference in the projected data on Friday in unemployment and in non-farm payrolls.
JON C. OGG