The indication is that this last week’s drop was due to seasonal factors, and we would again point to the Fourth of July holiday falling on a Wednesday. The army of unemployed, those making claims for more than a week, is measured with a one week lag and that report was down by 14,000 to 3.3 million.
Elsewhere from the Labor Department’s inflation watch, import prices were down 2.7% month over month due to lower fuel costs. This was the largest drop in over three years and it was the third consecutive drop. Import prices were down 2.6% from a year ago.
Today’s numbers sound good on the surface. Unfortunately they are easy to ignore due to ‘exceptions’ and due to negative headlines elsewhere.
JON C. OGG