My wife and I just realized we’ll likely get $75k per year from Social Security – can we actually retire sooner than we planned?

Just because Social Security benefits don't begin to kick in until your 60s doesn't mean you should wait until a traditional retirement age (let's say 62-65) before you make the big leap. If you've got the mortgage paid off and…

Published December 5, 2024, 10:50am ET · 5 min read

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Just because Social Security benefits don’t begin until your 60s doesn’t mean you have to wait until a traditional retirement age of 62 to 65 before making the leap. If the mortgage is paid off and you have a portfolio large enough to carry you through the years before benefits kick in, you may have the financial flexibility to embrace the FIRE movement (financial independence, retire early) with open arms.

In this piece, we’ll look at a married couple from Reddit in their mid-50s with a fairly generous combined Social Security benefit of $75,000 per year on the horizon. The 2026 cost-of-living adjustment came in at 2.8%, but the 2027 adjustment is shaping up to be larger. Forecasts climbed as high as 4.2% to 4.7% during the spring, driven by an energy-price shock and hot CPI-W data, but cooling inflation through July has pulled those estimates back. The Senior Citizens League now holds its projection at 3.8%, AARP estimates 3.6%, and independent analyst Mary Johnson revised her forecast down sharply to 3.7% from a June high of 4.7% as energy costs eased. The SSA is scheduled to announce the official 2027 figure in mid-October 2026, based on third-quarter inflation data.

That said, with major expenses like the mortgage and a child’s education already behind them, this couple clearly has options even in the years before they’re eligible to collect. Only a financial adviser will have the full picture, but several concrete questions are worth raising as they think through the timing of retirement.

FIRE retirement

Canva: courtneyk from Getty Images Signature

Canva: courtneyk from Getty Images Signature

Below, we’ll review four ideas the couple may wish to run by their adviser as they weigh early retirement against working a few more years. Staying on the job longer would likely mean a more comfortable outcome, something closer to “chubby FIRE” rather than lean FIRE, as both savings and Social Security benefits continue to grow. At the same time, if burnout is a real factor, retiring a bit early may be worth more to them than a few additional years of higher income.

Here are four questions worth bringing to that adviser conversation:

Does it make sense to shift gears to passive income with the investment portfolio?

A large enough portfolio can bridge the gap between an early retirement date and the start of Social Security benefits. If the portfolio generates enough passive income to cover the couple’s spending, there is a real case for stepping away from work years before benefits begin.

For those planning a 2026 or 2027 retirement, a useful tool is what planners call a “COLA bridge” strategy: sizing a cash buffer to account for the confirmed 2.8% COLA in 2026 and the projected increase for 2027, which forecasters currently put in a range of 3.6% to 3.8%. The goal is to avoid drawing down growth assets during the early years, when the couple faces the greatest sequence-of-returns risk. A cash cushion locked in now insulates the portfolio from being forced into sales at an inopportune moment.

Most people in this position are invested in broad index or mutual funds rather than higher-yielding securities such as dividend stocks paying 4% to 5%. Repositioning a portion of the portfolio toward income-generating holdings could make earlier retirement feasible, though the trade-off between yield and long-term growth deserves a careful look with an adviser before any portfolio shift is made.

How much could healthcare costs eat into retirement income?

Health Care Cost

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Healthcare costs can derail a retirement plan with startling speed. Before Medicare eligibility at 65, the couple would need private coverage, and Silver-level ACA premiums represent a meaningful line item in any pre-62 retirement budget. That pressure doesn’t ease at 65 either. Medicare Part B premiums jumped 9.7% in 2026, rising to $202.90 per month from $185 in 2025, a reminder that even a generous COLA can be partially swallowed by rising healthcare costs. The 2026 Medicare Trustees Report projects a further increase to roughly $209.50 per month in 2027, a more modest 3.25% rise, though the official figure won’t be confirmed until CMS makes its fall announcement.

The IRS confirmed 2027 HSA contribution limits at $4,500 for self-only coverage and $9,000 for family coverage, modest increases from $4,400 and $8,750 in 2026. Because both spouses are in their mid-50s, each can add a $1,000 catch-up contribution on top of the standard limit, sheltering up to $11,000 in tax-advantaged healthcare savings in 2027 alone. Maximizing those contributions while still working gives the couple a growing, tax-free pool to tap for healthcare expenses once they retire.

Long-term care insurance is another product worth a conversation with an adviser. It isn’t the right fit for everyone, but for couples who want to protect their nest egg against a prolonged care need, a policy can serve as a meaningful safeguard and reduce the financial and emotional burden on family members down the road.

What is the opportunity cost of retiring at 62 versus waiting until 70?

A $75,000 combined benefit is a strong foundation, but the timing of when to claim matters enormously. Claiming early at 62 locks in a permanent reduction: for anyone whose full retirement age is 67 (those born in 1960 or later), an early claim cuts the benefit by 30% for life. Waiting past full retirement age, by contrast, earns delayed retirement credits worth 8% per year up to age 70. Claiming at 70 rather than 67 produces a benefit that is 24% higher for the rest of the claimant’s life, according to SSA data.

For this couple, the adviser should model how projected COLA increases compound over a longer delay period. The combination of delayed retirement credits and annual inflation adjustments could push their combined benefit well into six-figure territory over time, turning a comfortable retirement into a genuinely secure one. One additional wrinkle worth discussing: the 2026 Social Security Trustees Report, released June 9, 2026, projects that combined trust fund reserves could be depleted by 2034, after which incoming payroll taxes would cover roughly 83% of scheduled benefits if Congress takes no action. That is a modest improvement from the 81% figure in the prior year’s report, but the timeline itself is unchanged, and it deserves a place in any long-range claiming strategy.

In short, the couple appears to be in solid shape as they approach this decision. Their combined benefit is substantial, their largest expenses are behind them, and they have time to position their portfolio thoughtfully. The main risks fall on the healthcare and inflation side: pre-Medicare coverage costs can catch early retirees off guard, and even modest inflation erodes purchasing power faster than most projections suggest. A candid conversation with an adviser covering the COLA bridge, healthcare funding, and the claiming-age trade-off is the logical next step.

Editor’s note: This article was updated to reflect the latest 2027 Social Security COLA forecasts as of July 2026. Mary Johnson revised her estimate sharply down to 3.7% from a June high of 4.7% as inflation data cooled, AARP entered the forecasting field with a 3.6% estimate, and TSCL held at 3.8%, narrowing the current consensus range to 3.6% to 3.8%. Context was also added on the 2026 Medicare Trustees Report’s projected 3.25% Part B premium increase for 2027, to approximately $209.50 per month.

Contact [email protected] for any questions or corrections.

Joey Frenette

Joey is a 24/7 Wall St. contributor and seasoned investment writer whose work can also be found in publications such as The Motley Fool and TipRanks. Holding a B.A.Sc in Computer Engineering from the University of British Columbia (UBC), Joey has leveraged his technical background to provide insightful stock analyses to readers.

Joey's investment philosophy is heavily influenced by Warren Buffett's value investing principles. As a dedicated Buffett disciple, Joey is committed to unearthing value in the tech sector and beyond.

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