Blue Nile Shows Zero Visibility (NILE)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Updated Published

Blue_nile_logoBlue Nile, Inc. (NASDAQ: NILE) has posted its quarterly earnings, and it looks like the results are probably not as bad as many would have guessed.  The leading online retailer of diamonds and fine jewelry reported net income of $2.3 million, or $0.15 per share.  This is down from $3.0 million, or $0.18, last year.  Net sales were $65.4 million, a decrease of 2.9%, from $67.4 million.

Thomson Reuters (First Call) had estimates of $0.16 and $68.77 million in revenue, so it missed estimates on both counts. 

The company said the declines were from the further weakening in the economy. This holiday season will be challenging "based on theuncertainty in the external environment and extremely cautious consumerspending trends," according to the Blue Nile.

Blue Nile does expect to generate profits and cash flow despitedifficult market conditions, BUT… management said it is not providingfinancial guidance because of the economic uncertainty.  That meansit has no way to know how this season will go, or when things will get better.

The company repurchased 593,700 shares of common stock for $23.2million, bringing the total spent in buybacks at 4.4 million shares or$160 million.

As of mid-October, the short interest here was listed as 6.77 million shares.  That is the lowest level in over 6 months.

Shares closed down 1.6% at $28.25 today, and the stock is only down0.25% after the report.  These results held up better than many mighthave assumed, but it is amazing that shares are holding up this muchbased upon its total lack of any visibility.  The 52-week trading rangeis $23.04 to $85.00.

Jon C. Ogg
November 4, 2008

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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