Technology

Why Backlog Will Matter So Much to IBM Earnings and Guidance

International Business Machines Corp. (NYSE: IBM) will report its second-quarter financial results Monday after the markets close. The consensus estimates from Thomson Reuters call for $3.78 in earnings per share (EPS) on $20.95 in revenue. In the same quarter of the previous year, IBM posted EPS of $4.43 and revenue of $24.36 billion.

The company recently announced that its research division and its partners had succeeded in creating the world’s first 7-nanometer (nm) computer chips. These chips are 1,400 times smaller than a single strand of human hair. According to the company, the alliance with Globalfoundries, Samsung and others achieved a scaling improvement of nearly 50% over the currently most advanced technology.

It is, perhaps, ironic that IBM had to pay Globalfoundries $1.5 billion to take ownership of Big Blue’s chip-making facilities in upstate New York. The transfer was completed just last week, and Globalfoundries now owns the IBM chip-making plants in Poughkeepsie, N.Y., and Burlington, Vt., along with 16,000 patents, IBM’s former chip customers and a 10-year contract to supply Big Blue with chips.

ALSO READ: 5 Telecom and Media Stocks to Own for the Rest of 2015

The carefully followed annual BrandZ Top 100 Valuable Global Brands of 2015 put IBM at number four. IBM is the only brand with sharp erosion from last year, down 13% to $84 billion. The company has posted falling revenue, and its move into cloud computing has been poorly managed. Investors have mostly given up on its future prospects.

Not to mention, the services backlog at the last earnings report was down to $121 billion. While that is massive, it is not what it was last summer when it was $136 billion. This is still down from its peak around $140 billion. At the end of 2014, backlog totaled $128 billion.

IBM is one of the top four stocks in the Warren Buffett holdings, and he has had to remain positive on his public view of Big Blue. The reality is that Buffett’s largest technology stock investment has yet to pay off, and the investment community is seeing through the financial engineering behind the buybacks. At least IBM is looking more focused on its dividend now, and that may be enough for some investors to buy and hold for years while IBM figures out its direction.

Shares of IBM closed Friday up 0.9%, at $172.51 in a 52-week trading range of $149.52 to $196.40. Monday morning, shares were up 0.3% at $172.98. The stock has a consensus analyst price target of $160.74.

ALSO READ: 5 High-Dividend Growth Stocks to Buy Now

Essential Tips for Investing: Sponsored

A financial advisor can help you understand the advantages and disadvantages of investment properties. Finding a qualified financial advisor doesn’t have to be hard. SmartAsset’s free tool matches you with up to three financial advisors who serve your area, and you can interview your advisor matches at no cost to decide which one is right for you. If you’re ready to find an advisor who can help you achieve your financial goals, get started now.

Investing in real estate can diversify your portfolio. But expanding your horizons may add additional costs. If you’re an investor looking to minimize expenses, consider checking out online brokerages. They often offer low investment fees, helping you maximize your profit.

Thank you for reading! Have some feedback for us?
Contact the 24/7 Wall St. editorial team.