What to Expect When Boeing Reports Wednesday Morning

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Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA) is scheduled to release its third-quarter financial results before the opening bell on Wednesday. The consensus estimates are calling for $2.09 in earnings per share (EPS) and $19.44 billion in revenue. The same period of last year reportedly had EPS of $3.58 on $25.15 billion in revenue.

CEO Dennis Muilenburg was stripped of his chairman’s job a week ago. With new revelations about the 737 Max, that pilots knew of dangerous flaws in its flight control system, the new board chair, David L. Calhoun, and the rest of the board have to force Muilenburg out and replace him with a chief executive who was not with the company when the new 737 Max was developed.

According to a number of sources, a senior Boeing pilot knew of the problem with the control system that brought down two planes and killed 346 people. The pilot manuals given to the Federal Aviation Administration did not mention the problem. CNBC reported that the Boeing lead pilot complained in one message that a flight-control system, known as MCAS, was difficult to control, according to the messages that were obtained by NBC News.

Questions about whether Muilenburg should run Boeing began shortly after the crashes. It quickly became clear that Boeing had put the 737 Max into service without proper safeguards and training on the flight-control system. A number of airlines have suffered financially because they cannot fly the planes. Some certainly will ask for compensation for their losses. The 737 Max may not be back in service until early next year. The new revelations could push that date out further. In the meantime, new orders of Boeing aircraft have plunged, creating an opening for rival Airbus to pick up new orders.

Another negative byproduct of the 737 Max scandal is that the public may be reluctant to fly the planes even when they come back into service.

Excluding Tuesday’s move, Boeing had underperformed the broad markets, with its stock up less than 3% year to date. In the past 52 weeks, the stock was actually down about 8%.

A few analysts weighed in on Boeing ahead of the report:

  • Baird has a Neutral rating with a $342 target price.
  • Credit Suisse has a Neutral rating and a $323 price target.
  • UBS Group has a Neutral rating with a $375 price target.
  • Canaccord Genuity’s Hold rating comes with a $380 target.
  • Merrill Lynch has a Neutral rating and a $400 target price.

Shares of Boeing traded up about 2% at $338.18 on Tuesday, in a 52-week range of $292.47 to $446.01. The consensus price target is $395.86.


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