Apple Has a 42% Chance of Ending the Year as the World's Largest Company

As seen on the 24/7 Wall St. homepage on October 23, 2026.

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Prediction market traders give Apple just a 42% chance of ending the year as the world's largest company, a coin flip with about two months left.

Nvidia and Microsoft sit close enough that one earnings reaction reshuffles the ranking, so anyone treating Apple's lead as safe is pricing in a certainty the market no longer grants.

Any catalyst before the calendar closes decides who sits on top.

Sources

Mentioned: AAPL

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Borgeat's point: investors paid 12 to 14 times earnings for 30% growth under Jobs, and are paying far more today for a fraction of it.

And then there is Apple. A company I admire. A valuation I struggle to understand. Let me explain. Under Steve Jobs, Apple was changing the world. The iPhone. The iPad. An innovation machine growing revenues and earnings at roughly 30% a year. The valuation? 12 to 14 times https://t.co/t6gkZ0Krwt
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