Brazil ETF Drops 25% on Lula Win, Erasing a Full Year of Gains

As seen on the 24/7 Wall St. homepage on October 26, 2026.

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The iShares Brazil ETF fell 25.4% in pre-market trading after Lula's election victory, erasing every dollar of gain built over the year before the US opening bell.

Investors are sharply repricing Brazil's fiscal outlook under a new Lula term, with a single election result unwinding a full year of equity returns in hours.

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The ETF's end-of-2025 price is now the immediate line to watch, and whether it holds depends on what the incoming government signals about spending and budget priorities.

The trade is drawing heavy attention from investors deciding whether this is capitulation or the opening move in a longer repricing.

Mentioned: EWZ