As Ford’s Fortunes Drop Tesla’s Rises

It’s a great stock chart for Tesla and a terrible one for Ford. Year to date, Tesla’s shares are up 111%, and Ford’s are up 3%, which is much below the S&P.’s improvement of 12%. It would be easy to…

Published October 8, 2023, 11:25am ET · 2 min read

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A silver Tesla Cybertruck is parked on a paved lot in the foreground, with its futuristic, angular design prominent. Behind it, a red Tesla Roadster and a white Tesla Semi truck are visible. Several other Tesla vehicles, including sedans and SUVs in various colors, are parked further in the background under bright sunlight.
A lineup of Tesla's diverse electric vehicles, prominently featuring the Cybertruck, underscores the company's expanding product range amidst recent reports of bulk purchases by SpaceX. © Tesla ASM Lineup of Vehicles (CC BY 2.0) by Steve Jurvetson

It’s a great stock chart for Tesla and a terrible one for Ford. Year to date, Tesla’s shares are up 111%, and Ford’s are up 3%, which is much below the S&P.’s improvement of 12%. It would be easy to say the UAW strike is the reason, but that would be too simplistic,

Tesla has made several decisions that hurt most car companies. It has lowered prices on several of its models and, in some cases, has lowered them several times. On the other hand, Tesla has high margins for the auto industry, and it can afford to trade top line for market share for now. Another “decision” it has made is the delay of its Cybertruck, one of the most anticipated vehicle launches of the last decade. However, it claims a back order of two million, although not all of those will wait long enough for delivery.

Ford’s problems extend beyond the UAW, although the strike cannot help but cause a certain amount of financial injury. Even if it meets a modest level of the UAW’s demands, its annual costs will rise by hundreds of millions of dollars. That margin compression is permanent, or at least it will last several years.

Ford said its EV production levels would be well into a run rate of six figures by the end of this year. It has pushed that number into 2024, which has spawned skepticism about its ability to meet publicly stated goals.

Ford has sold only several thousand of its F-150 EV flagship, the Lightning. It will soon have competition with Chevy, Ram, and Tesla. What appeared to be a good head start has disappeared.

It will test Ford’s shares based on how they move after the UAW strike. Tesla shareholders don’t face that kind of challenge.

Also read: Every Major Automaker’s Plan to Go Electric

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Mike Sauter

Michael Sauter is Lead Editor at 24/7 Wall St. He has worked here in various capacities since 2010, starting out as a healthcare industry beat writer. He helped develop the site’s data-driven content, which contributed to 24/7 Wall St. becoming a recognized brand in the field of data journalism, covering a wide range of social and economic issues. Today, he rarely writes but enjoys working with authors and data to find the best way to present information clearly and effectively. In his occasional spare time, Michael loves cycling, listening to audiobooks, and (passably) playing the piano.

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