COVID-19: How Cases in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA Metro Area Compare to Other Major Metros

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By Steven M. Peters Published
COVID-19: How Cases in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA Metro Area Compare to Other Major Metros

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The U.S. reported over 64,000 new cases of coronavirus on Feb. 17, bringing the total count to more than 27,400,000 confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 470,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise, albeit at a slowing rate. In the past week, there were an average of 27.8 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — a decrease from the week prior, when there were an average of 39 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While new data shows that the risk of contracting COVID-19 is high in almost every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks and superspreader events. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between different neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

In the 50 largest metro areas, the incidence of COVID-19 grew at an average rate of 29.4 new cases a day per 100,000 residents in the past week — 7.1% greater than the case growth in all counties outside of metro areas.

The Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA metro area consists of just Santa Barbara County. As of Feb. 17, there were 6,955.7 confirmed cases of COVID-19 per 100,000 Santa Maria residents, 18.3% lower than the national rate. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 8,511.6 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

In order to slow the spread of COVID-19, city and county governments have ordered the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses. These measures have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara metro area, unemployment peaked at 14.3% in Apr-20. As of November 2020, the metro area’s unemployment rate was 7.3%.

To determine how the incidence of COVID-19 in the Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA metro area compares to the rest of the country, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked metro areas based on the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents.To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2018 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is seasonally adjusted.

MSA Population Confirmed COVID-19 cases as of Feb. 17 Confirmed COVID-19 cases as of Feb. 17 per 100,000 residents Cumulative COVID-19 deaths as of Feb. 17 Cumulative COVID-19 deaths as of Feb. 17 per 100,000 residents
El Centro, CA 180,216 26,711 14,821.7 584 324.1
Hanford-Corcoran, CA 150,075 21,583 14,381.5 209 139.3
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA 4,518,699 553,901 12,258.0 5,976 132.3
Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA 13,262,234 1,380,644 10,410.3 22,832 172.2
Merced, CA 269,075 27,724 10,303.4 382 142
Bakersfield, CA 883,053 90,267 10,222.1 687 77.8
Visalia, CA 460,477 46,444 10,086.1 697 151.4
Madera, CA 155,013 15,120 9,754.0 201 129.7
Fresno, CA 978,130 93,363 9,545.1 1,341 137.1
Salinas, CA 433,212 40,962 9,455.4 309 71.3
Modesto, CA 539,301 48,927 9,072.3 905 167.8
Oxnard-Thousand Oaks-Ventura, CA 848,112 76,043 8,966.2 751 88.5
Stockton, CA 732,212 64,448 8,801.8 1,018 139
Yuba City, CA 171,365 14,003 8,171.4 129 75.3
San Diego-Chula Vista-Carlsbad, CA 3,302,833 253,638 7,679.4 3,042 92.1
Santa Maria-Santa Barbara, CA 443,738 30,865 6,955.7 376 84.7
San Luis Obispo-Paso Robles, CA 281,455 18,925 6,724.0 210 74.6
Vallejo, CA 438,530 29,246 6,669.1 149 34
Napa, CA 140,530 8,854 6,300.4 64 45.5
Redding, CA 179,085 10,736 5,994.9 171 95.5
Sacramento-Roseville-Folsom, CA 2,291,738 131,906 5,755.7 1,868 81.5
San Jose-Sunnyvale-Santa Clara, CA 1,981,616 113,413 5,723.3 1,726 87.1
Santa Rosa-Petaluma, CA 501,317 27,380 5,461.6 287 57.2
Santa Cruz-Watsonville, CA 273,765 14,256 5,207.4 170 62.1
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA 4,673,221 223,684 4,786.5 2,785 59.6
Chico, CA 227,075 10,748 4,733.2 153 67.4

These are all the counties in California where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

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