Earnings Warning & Denying Merger Rumors Hurt Steel Stocks (NUE, STLD, X, RS, AKS)

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By Douglas A. McIntyre Published
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Stock Tickers: NUE, STLD, X, RS, AKS

Nucor Corp. (NUE-NYSE) has a bit of a surprising news this morning: a steel company issuing an earnings warning. It now expects that earnings for the second quarter ending June 30, 2007 are expected to be in the range of $1.05 to $1.15 per diluted share, compared to estimates of $1.39 and compared to $1.26 EPS in the first quarter of 2007.

Here is the explanation from the company:  Second quarter earnings have been significantly impacted by lower shipments from Nucor’s bar mill group. The rapid increase in scrap prices in the first quarter resulted in hedge buying during that quarter by our customers ahead of anticipated increases in steel products pricing. This hedge buying by our customers produced a record for first quarter shipments from our bar mill group. In addition to the first quarter hedge buying driven by volatility in scrap pricing, bar market demand in the second quarter has been marginally reduced by softness in the automotive and residential construction segments. This softness reduced demand for our SBQ bar and rebar products. We expect second quarter bar shipments to decline approximately 17% from the first quarter shipments.

This news combined with the news that ThyssenKrupp in Europe denied market rumors and reports that it was in talks to acquire U.S. Steel (X-NYSE). 

This combined earnings warning from a key player and less consolidation in the sector is pressuring other steel names: Steel Dynamics (STLD-NASDAQ) -4%, US Steel (X-NYSE) -5.5%, Reliance Steel & Aluminum (RS-NYSE) -2%, AK Steel (AKS) -2.5%.

Jon C. Ogg
June 11, 2007

Jon Ogg can be reached at [email protected]; he does not own securities in the companies he covers.

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About the Author Douglas A. McIntyre →

Douglas A. McIntyre is the co-founder, chief executive officer and editor in chief of 24/7 Wall St. and 24/7 Tempo. He has held these jobs since 2006.

McIntyre has written thousands of articles for 24/7 Wall St. He is an expert on corporate finance, the automotive industry, media companies and international finance. He has edited articles on national demographics, sports, personal income and travel.

His work has been quoted or mentioned in The New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, Los Angeles Times, The Washington Post, NBC News, Time, The New Yorker, HuffPost USA Today, Business Insider, Yahoo, AOL, MarketWatch, The Atlantic, Bloomberg, New York Post, Chicago Tribune, Forbes, The Guardian and many other major publications. McIntyre has been a guest on CNBC, the BBC and television and radio stations across the country.

A magna cum laude graduate of Harvard College, McIntyre also was president of The Harvard Advocate. Founded in 1866, the Advocate is the oldest college publication in the United States.

TheStreet.com, Comps.com and Edgar Online are some of the public companies for which McIntyre served on the board of directors. He was a Vicinity Corporation board member when the company was sold to Microsoft in 2002. He served on the audit committees of some of these companies.

McIntyre has been the CEO of FutureSource, a provider of trading terminals and news to commodities and futures traders. He was president of Switchboard, the online phone directory company. He served as chairman and CEO of On2 Technologies, the video compression company that provided video compression software for Adobe’s Flash. Google bought On2 in 2009.

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