Companies /Consumer Cyclical

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd

NYSE: BABA Internet Retail
$120.04
â–² $0.60 (+0.50%) today
Markets open · 4:13pm ET
24/7 Rating BUY
12-Month Price Target
$134.72 +12.2% upside

Set by 24/7 Wall St.’s proprietary analysis of professional targets, profit trajectory, sector, risk, and retail attention. How we calculate our price targets →

Current close $120.07
Street consensus $188.47
Ours vs. the Street −28.5%
$119.14Conservative$120.07Current$134.72Our Target$206.25Optimistic
12-Month Projection Historical Optimistic Target Conservative
$120$150$180$210Aug 2025Aug 2027Today$206.25$134.72$119.14
$120$150$180$210Aug 2025Aug 2027Today$206.25$134.72$119.14

Analyst Sentiment

40ANALYSTS
Buy3895%
Hold13%
Sell13%
The Bottom Line

Alibaba appears attractively valued at current levels. With a 12.2% upside to our $134.72 target, the risk-reward profile looks favorable for investors with a 12-month time horizon. Wall Street agrees, with 95% of analysts rating it a Buy.

The 24/7 Factor

Base Growth
Conservative growth baseline (reduced to avoid double-counting P/E growth)
1.05×
Sector Momentum
Economic cycle dependent, moderate growth
1.05×
Analyst Consensus
Strong analyst consensus (bullish)
+5.5%
Earnings Growth
Significant earnings decline
−3.0%
Volatility Adjustment
Lower volatility stock
+1.0%
Price Position
Trading near 52-week high
+1.5%
Social Sentiment
Moderately positive retail sentiment
+0.3%
Read our full methodology →

5-Year Projection

Long-Term Forecast Optimistic Target Conservative
$180$270$360’26’27’28’29’30’31$415.44$178.86$135.15
$180$270$360’26’27’28’29’30’31$415.44$178.86$135.15

Prediction History

BABA Price Target History Our Target Stock Price
$100$120$140$160May 28Aug 21$141.95$119.34
$100$120$140$160May 28Aug 21$141.95$119.34
Date Price Target Stock Price Rating Upside
$141.95 $119.34 BUY +18.9%
$160.72 $123.81 BUY +29.8%
$155.39 $128.41 BUY +21.0%
$149.97 $122.25 BUY +22.7%
$150.25 $114.06 BUY +31.7%
$147.75 $117.49 BUY +25.8%
$139.69 $114.80 BUY +21.7%
$135.82 $96.14 BUY +41.3%

Social Sentiment

55/100
Sentiment Score
Neutral
Retail Mood
Low
Discussion Activity

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the BABA stock price prediction for 2030?

Looking ahead to 2030, our model projects BABA could trade at an average price of $165.16, with a potential range between $123.87 and $206.45. This represents a potential 37.6% return from today’s price. Long-term forecasts depend heavily on company execution, competitive dynamics, and broader market conditions.

Is BABA a buy, sell, or hold right now?

24/7 Wall St. currently rates BABA as a BUY. Moderate upside (+12.2%) Among Wall Street analysts, 38 rate it Buy, 1 rate it Hold, and 1 rate it Sell.

What is the BABA stock price target in an optimistic scenario?

In our optimistic scenario for BABA, the stock could reach $206.25 over the next 12 months, representing a 71.8% gain from today’s price. This scenario assumes favorable conditions materialize, including strong earnings growth, positive market sentiment, and successful execution of company initiatives.

What is the downside risk for BABA stock?

Our conservative scenario for BABA projects a price of $119.14 over the next 12 months (-0.8% from current levels), suggesting relatively limited downside if headwinds materialize. No forecast is a guarantee. Position sizing and time horizon still matter.

Projections are estimates based on current data, updated daily. Not investment advice. Learn how we calculate these projections →