Companies /Consumer Cyclical

Advance Auto Parts Inc

NYSE: AAP Auto Parts
$45.39
▼ $1.21 (−2.60%) today
Markets open · 10:45am ET
24/7 Rating BUY
Our 12-month price target
$71.48
+54.2% upside by Oct 2027
Price when calculated $46.35 Oct 26, 2026
Street consensus $50.06 25 analysts
Ours vs. the Street +42.8% Our target vs. consensus

Set by 24/7 Wall St.’s proprietary analysis of professional targets, profit trajectory, sector, risk, and retail attention. Recalculated at least weekly and after every earnings report.

How we calculate it →
12-Month Projection Historical Optimistic Target Conservative
$40$50$60$70Oct 2025Oct 2027Oct 26$76.49$71.48$59.29
$40$50$60$70Oct 2025Oct 2027Oct 26$76.49$71.48$59.29

Analyst Sentiment

25ANALYSTS
Buy28%
Hold2080%
Sell312%
The Bottom Line

Advance Auto Parts appears attractively valued at current levels. With a 54.2% upside to our $71.48 target, the risk-reward profile looks favorable for investors with a 12-month time horizon.

The 24/7 Factor

Base Growth
Conservative growth baseline (reduced to avoid double-counting P/E growth)
1.05×
Sector Momentum
Economic cycle dependent, moderate growth
1.05×
Analyst Consensus
Mixed analyst views
−0.2%
Earnings Growth
Strong earnings acceleration
+3.0%
Volatility Adjustment
Average volatility
−0.2%
Read our full methodology →

5-Year Projection

Long-Term Forecast Optimistic Target Conservative
$60$90$120$150’26’27’28’29’30’31$146.40$151.98$84.90
$60$90$120$150’26’27’28’29’30’31$146.40$151.98$84.90

Prediction History

AAP Price Target History Our Target Stock Price
$40$60Jul 31Oct 23$72.15$46.95
$40$60Jul 31Oct 23$72.15$46.95
$40$60$80May 28Oct 23$72.15$46.95
$40$60$80May 28Oct 23$72.15$46.95
Date Price Target Stock Price Rating Upside
$72.15 $46.95 BUY +53.7%
$69.21 $44.45 BUY +55.7%
$66.51 $42.30 BUY +57.2%
$62.39 $38.67 BUY +61.3%
$65.91 $41.70 BUY +58.1%
$51.77 $42.55 BUY +21.7%
$53.13 $44.68 BUY +18.9%
$52.64 $44.18 BUY +19.2%
Date Price Target Stock Price Rating Upside
$72.15 $46.95 BUY +53.7%
$65.91 $41.70 BUY +58.1%
$67.43 $42.90 BUY +57.2%
$77.85 $56.19 BUY +38.6%
$79.64 $62.33 BUY +27.8%
$75.14 $60.13 BUY +25.0%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the AAP stock price prediction for 2030?

Looking ahead to 2030, our model projects AAP could trade at an average price of $119.85, with a potential range between $89.89 and $149.81. This represents a potential 158.6% return from today’s price. Long-term forecasts depend heavily on company execution, competitive dynamics, and broader market conditions.

Is AAP a buy, sell, or hold right now?

24/7 Wall St. currently rates AAP as a BUY. Strong upside (+54.2%) Among Wall Street analysts, 2 rate it Buy, 20 rate it Hold, and 3 rate it Sell.

What is the AAP stock price target in an optimistic scenario?

In our optimistic scenario for AAP, the stock could reach $76.49 over the next 12 months, representing a 65.0% gain from today’s price. This scenario assumes favorable conditions materialize, including strong earnings growth, positive market sentiment, and successful execution of company initiatives.

What is the downside risk for AAP stock?

Our conservative scenario for AAP projects a price of $59.29 over the next 12 months (27.9% from current levels), suggesting relatively limited downside if headwinds materialize. No forecast is a guarantee. Position sizing and time horizon still matter.

Projections are estimates based on current data, updated daily. Not investment advice. Learn how we calculate these projections →