Q4 25 EPS
$0.43
BEAT +297.05%
Est. $0.11
Q4 25 Revenue
$3.63B
MISS 0.28%
Est. $3.64B
vs S&P Since Q4 25
-3.5%
TRAILING MARKET
ALK +3.9% vs S&P +7.5%
Full Year 2025 Results
FY 25 EPS
$2.44
BEAT +13.82%
Est. $2.14
FY 25 Revenue
$14.24B
MISS 0.07%
Est. $14.25B
Market Reaction
Did ALK Beat Earnings? Q4 2025 Results
Alaska Air Group posted a sharp earnings beat in Q4 2025, with adjusted EPS of $0.43 clearing the $0.11 consensus estimate by 290.91%, even as revenue of $3.63 billion came in just a hair below the $3.64 billion forecast despite growing 2.8% year ove… Read more Alaska Air Group posted a sharp earnings beat in Q4 2025, with adjusted EPS of $0.43 clearing the $0.11 consensus estimate by 290.91%, even as revenue of $3.63 billion came in just a hair below the $3.64 billion forecast despite growing 2.8% year over year. The outperformance was driven roughly equally by better-than-expected non-fuel cost control and a favorable combination of lower December fuel costs and a reduced effective tax rate, with CASMex rising only 1.3% against prior guidance of approximately 3%. GAAP net income, however, fell to $21.00 million, or $0.18 per share, compared with $71.00 million, or $0.55 per share, in Q4 2024, reflecting integration-related costs tied to the Hawaiian Airlines combination. The quarter also brought a major Boeing fleet order and a unified FAA operating certificate with Hawaiian, reinforcing management's confidence in the Alaska Accelerate strategy. Looking ahead, the company guided full-year 2026 adjusted EPS of $3.50 to $6.50, with early Q1 corporate bookings running up 20% year over year signaling strengthening demand.
Key Takeaways
- • Premium revenue increased 7% year-over-year, now representing 36% of total revenue
- • Loyalty revenue increased 12% year-over-year
- • Cargo revenue increased 22% year-over-year
- • Corporate travel grew 9% year-over-year in Q4, a 2-point sequential improvement from Q3
- • CASMex increased only 1.3% year-over-year, better than ~3% guidance, driven by cost management focus
- • Commercial initiatives and synergies remained on track for the fourth consecutive quarter
- • Record credit card acquisitions, with nearly one-fourth of Q4 signups for new premium credit card
ALK YoY Financials
Q4 2025 vs Q4 2024, source: SEC Filings
ALK Revenue by Segment
With YoY comparisons, source: SEC Filings
“We feel momentum accelerating in 2026 as the Alaska-Hawaiian Airlines combination gains full strength. The people across our airlines delivered through a transformational year that set us up to win: an expanding global network, premium travel experiences delivered with care, and Atmos Rewards elevating our 11-year streak as the No. 1 airline loyalty program. Our model is positioned for where travelers are headed, and we're ready to compete as one of four global U.S. airlines.”
— Ben Minicucci, Q4 2025 Earnings Press Release
ALK Earnings Trends
ALK vs Market 30 Day Price Reactions
30-day stock return vs benchmark after each earnings
ALK EPS Trend
Earnings per share: estimate vs actual
ALK Revenue Trend
Quarterly revenue: estimate vs actual
ALK Quarterly Results
5 quarters of earnings data
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | Revenue | Rev. Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 26 MISS | $-1.59 | $-1.68 | -5.75% | $3.30B | +0.28% |
| Q4 25 BEAT FY | $0.11 | $0.43 | +297.05% | $3.63B | -0.28% |
| FY Full Year | $2.14 | $2.44 | +13.82% | $14.24B | -0.07% |
| Q3 25 MISS | $1.10 | $1.05 | -4.67% | $3.77B | +0.24% |
| Q2 25 BEAT | $1.55 | $1.78 | +15.01% | $3.70B | +1.36% |
| Q1 25 MISS | $-0.77 | $-0.77 | -0.05% | $3.14B | -0.71% |