Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp
Q2 2025 Earnings
Market Reaction
S&P 500 over the same 30 days: +2.36%.
Did AQN Beat Earnings? Q2 2025 Results
Algonquin Power & Utilities delivered a disappointing second quarter, missing on both the top and bottom lines as the company navigated its post-transformation identity as a pure-play regulated utility. The Oakville-based company posted earnings per share of $0.03, falling short of the $0.04 consensus estimate by 24.43%, while revenue of $527.80 million trailed expectations of $535.54 million by 1.44%, though it still represented a modest 2.4% increase from the year-ago period. The most consequential driver of the headline earnings decline was the absence of a $169.90 million fair value gain on the Atlantica investment that had inflated Q2 2024 results, compounding pressure from a $14.00 million foreign exchange loss and elevated operating expenses that pushed operating income down to $64.80 million from $85.50 million a year prior. Investors appeared largely unsurprised by the magnitude of the drop, which had been broadly anticipated following January's completion of the renewables sale to LS Power. Looking ahead, management affirmed adjusted EPS guidance of $0.30 to $0.32 for 2025, rising to $0.42 to $0.46 by 2027, underpinned by roughly $2.50 billion in planned utility capital expenditures.
- Higher regulated water and gas distribution revenues
- Implementation of approved rates of $15.5 million at BELCO, Empire Electric, Midstates and Peach State Gas Systems, and water systems
- Increased operating expenses and fuel costs
- Foreign exchange loss of $14.0 million versus a gain in prior year
- Absence of $169.9 million Atlantica fair value gain recorded in Q2 2024
- Completion of renewable energy business sale in January 2025
- Lower interest expense of $15.1 million due to debt repayment from Renewables Sale proceeds
- Unfavourable weather at Empire Electric System reducing revenue by approximately $6.6 million
- Lower HLBV income of $5.1 million from lower wind production
Forward Guidance & Outlook
The Company estimates Adjusted Net Earnings per share of $0.30-$0.32 for 2025, $0.35-$0.37 for 2026, and $0.42-$0.46 for 2027. Utility capital expenditures of approximately $2.5 billion are expected for 2025 through 2027. The outlook assumes normalized weather patterns, timely regulatory approvals, capital projects completed on time and substantially in line with budgeted costs, realization of company-wide efficiency initiatives, and a low-to-mid twenties percentage effective tax rate in 2026 and 2027. The Company has multiple pending rate cases including Empire Electric ($152.8M request in Missouri), CalPeco Electric ($39.8M request in California), New England Natural Gas ($55.8M request in Massachusetts), and Litchfield Park Water & Sewer ($17.8M request in Arizona).
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Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.