Companies /Basic Materials

BHP Group Ltd

NYSE: BHP Other Industrial Metals & Mining
$96.73
â–² $0.40 (+0.42%) today
Markets open · 2:14pm ET
24/7 Rating HOLD
12-Month Price Target
$83.54 −13.3% downside

Set by 24/7 Wall St.’s proprietary analysis of professional targets, profit trajectory, sector, risk, and retail attention. How we calculate our price targets →

Current close $96.37
Street consensus $74.07
Ours vs. the Street +12.8%
$66.53Conservative$96.37Current$83.54Our Target$91.05Optimistic
12-Month Projection Historical Optimistic Target Conservative
$60$80Aug 2025Aug 2027Today$91.05$83.54$66.53
$60$80Aug 2025Aug 2027Today$91.05$83.54$66.53

Analyst Sentiment

8ANALYSTS
Buy113%
Hold563%
Sell225%
The Bottom Line

BHP is fairly valued at current levels. With our price target of $83.54 suggesting limited downside, the stock appears to be trading near fair value. Consider your portfolio allocation and investment timeline before making a decision.

The 24/7 Factor

Base Growth
Conservative growth baseline (reduced to avoid double-counting P/E growth)
1.05×
Sector Momentum
Commodity-linked, cyclical
1.02×
Analyst Consensus
Mixed analyst views
−0.7%
Earnings Growth
Earnings pressure
−0.9%
Volatility Adjustment
Average volatility
+0.3%
Read our full methodology →

5-Year Projection

Long-Term Forecast Optimistic Target Conservative
$60$80$100’26’27’28’29’30’31$99.37$80.15$59.38
$60$80$100’26’27’28’29’30’31$99.37$80.15$59.38

Prediction History

BHP Price Target History Our Target Stock Price
$77$84$91$98May 28Aug 21$80.35$97.03
$77$84$91$98May 28Aug 21$80.35$97.03
Date Price Target Stock Price Rating Upside
$80.35 $97.03 SELL −17.2%
$79.47 $86.78 HOLD −8.4%
$77.59 $90.41 HOLD −14.2%
$78.37 $84.49 HOLD −7.3%
$76.92 $83.65 HOLD −8.1%
$76.68 $80.71 HOLD −5.0%
$73.50 $82.05 HOLD −10.4%
$75.72 $80.98 HOLD −6.5%

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the BHP stock price prediction for 2030?

Looking ahead to 2030, our model projects BHP could trade at an average price of $83.16, with a potential range between $62.37 and $103.95. This represents a potential 13.7% decline from today’s price. Long-term forecasts depend heavily on company execution, competitive dynamics, and broader market conditions.

Is BHP a buy, sell, or hold right now?

24/7 Wall St. currently rates BHP as a HOLD. Slight overvaluation (-13.3%) Among Wall Street analysts, 1 rate it Buy, 5 rate it Hold, and 2 rate it Sell.

What is the BHP stock price target in an optimistic scenario?

Our optimistic scenario for BHP projects a price of $91.05 over the next 12 months. Even under favorable conditions, this suggests limited upside from today’s price of $96.37, indicating the stock may currently be trading near or above fair value.

What is the downside risk for BHP stock?

In our conservative scenario, BHP could trade as low as $66.53 over the next 12 months, representing a 31.0% decline from current levels. This scenario accounts for potential headwinds including earnings misses, competitive pressures, or broader market weakness.

Projections are estimates based on current data, updated daily. Not investment advice. Learn how we calculate these projections →