Maplebear Inc
Q4 2025 Earnings
Market Reaction
S&P 500 over the same 30 days: −2.98%.
Did CART Beat Earnings? Q4 2025 Results
Maplebear delivered a tale of two metrics in Q4 2025, posting revenue that edged past expectations while earnings fell well short of what Wall Street had penciled in. The grocery technology platform reported quarterly revenue of $992.00 million, up 12.3% year-over-year and a 2.23% beat against the $970.35 million consensus, yet GAAP earnings per share of $0.30 missed the $0.52 estimate by 42.31%, largely because a $60.00 million FTC settlement ballooned general and administrative expenses and dragged GAAP net income down 46% to $81.00 million. Beneath that noise, the underlying business showed real momentum, with gross transaction value climbing 14% to $9.85 billion on 89.5 million orders and adjusted EBITDA expanding to $303.00 million at a 31% margin. The advertising unit crossed $1.00 billion in annual revenue for the first time, underscoring the platform's broadening commercial model. Looking ahead, management guided Q1 2026 GTV of $10.13 to $10.28 billion, representing what the company called its strongest year-over-year growth guidance since going public, even as some investors weigh whether recent share price weakness creates an entry point at current valuations.
- Strongest quarterly GTV growth in three years at 14% YoY
- Orders grew 16% YoY to 89.5 million
- Over 26 million customers used Instacart in 2025, with ~10 million placing orders in December alone
- 2025 customer cohort was the largest added since end of 2022
- New customer retention rate strongest since early 2023
- Operating leverage drove adjusted EBITDA margin expansion to 31%
- Perfect order fill rate improved 5 percentage points year-over-year
- Growth from price-parity grocers and club retailers notably outpaced overall platform
“We wrapped up 2025 with real momentum and are carrying that strength into 2026. Our strategy to be the leading grocery technology and enablement partner is working. More customers are choosing Instacart for their full grocery needs. More retailers are turning to our purpose-built technology to manage grocery complexity at scale. More brands are leaning into our ads and data capabilities to grow.”
Maplebear CEO, on the earnings call
Forward Guidance & Outlook
For Q1 2026, Instacart guides GTV of $10,125–$10,275 million, representing 11%–13% year-over-year growth — the strongest year-over-year GTV growth guidance provided since going public. Adjusted EBITDA is guided to $280–$290 million, representing 15%–19% year-over-year growth, with sequential decline primarily due to seasonality in advertising & other revenue. GTV growth is expected to outpace orders growth as the company laps the full launch of its $10 minimum basket feature for Instacart+ members in Q1 2025.
CART YoY Financials
CART Revenue by Segment
Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.