Casey`s General Stores Inc
Q1 2027 Earnings
Market Reaction
Did CASY Beat Earnings? Q1 2027 Results
Casey's General Stores posted a standout fiscal first quarter for 2027, with GAAP diluted EPS of $7.37 beating the $6.82 Wall Street consensus by 8.09%, extending the convenience-store operator's streak of topping EPS estimates to five consecutive quarters. Revenue climbed 24.3% year over year to $5.68 billion, ahead of the $5.55 billion consensus by 2.23%, as net income rose 27.1% to $273.72 million. The single biggest driver of the outperformance was fuel, where gross profit jumped 19.6% to $446.93 million on margin expansion to 47.8 cents per gallon from 41.0 cents a year ago, even as same-store gallons dipped slightly. Inside the stores, same-store sales grew 3.2% with inside margin expanding to 42.2%, aided by strong whole pizza traffic and non-alcoholic beverage demand. Institutional interest in the stock remains elevated, with roughly 85.63% of shares held by institutions. Management reiterated its fiscal 2027 outlook, calling for EBITDA growth of 8% to 10% and at least 120 new store openings, with Fikes integration tracking ahead of schedule.
- Prepared food same-store sales up 4.8%, driven by positive traffic and whole pizza demand
- Grocery & general merchandise same-store sales up 2.7%, driven by non-alcoholic beverages
- Fuel margin expanded to 47.8 cents per gallon from 41.0 cents per gallon year-over-year
- Total fuel gross profit up 19.6% to $446.9 million
- Inside margin expanded approximately 30 basis points to 42.2% from favorable mix shift and cost management
- Store count increased by 64 stores year-over-year
“We are off to a great start on our three-year strategic plan, highlighted by a nearly 28% increase in diluted EPS. Guests are responding well to our compelling value proposition on our high-quality prepared food, especially in whole pies. On the fuel side, our team's robust capabilities helped us navigate a volatile environment and produced strong results. The operations team delivered an exceptional guest experience during our busiest quarter of the year. We accomplished all of this while running ahead of schedule on our integration of the Fikes acquisition.”
Casey's General Stores CEO, on the earnings call
Forward Guidance & Outlook
Casey's reiterated its fiscal 2027 outlook: inside same-store sales growth of 2% to 5% with inside margin above 42%; same-store fuel gallons sold of -1% to +1%; total operating expense growth of approximately 5% to 7%; EBITDA growth of 8% to 10% (implying 35% on a two-year stack at midpoint). The company expects to open at least 120 stores in fiscal 2027 through a mix of M&A and new store construction. Net interest expense is expected to be approximately $95 million, D&A approximately $490 million, capex approximately $800 million, and the tax rate approximately 24% to 26%.
CASY YoY Financials
CASY Revenue by Segment
Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.