Q1 26 EPS
$2.74
Q1 26 Revenue
$11.12B
BEAT +27.69%
Est. $8.71B
vs S&P Since Q1 26
-16.3%
TRAILING MARKET
CEG -13.9% vs S&P +2.4%
Market Reaction
Did CEG Beat Earnings? Q1 2026 Results
Constellation Energy delivered a clear beat across the board in Q1 2026, with adjusted operating earnings of $2.74 per share topping the $2.61 consensus by 5.06% and revenue of $11.12 billion exceeding estimates by 27.69%, up 63.9% year over year fro… Read more Constellation Energy delivered a clear beat across the board in Q1 2026, with adjusted operating earnings of $2.74 per share topping the $2.61 consensus by 5.06% and revenue of $11.12 billion exceeding estimates by 27.69%, up 63.9% year over year from $6.79 billion. The dominant force behind those numbers was the January 2026 close of the Calpine Corporation acquisition, which transformed Constellation into the largest private power producer in the world and immediately expanded total supply to 93,330 GWhs from 68,422 GWhs a year ago, with Calpine contributing 26,497 GWhs of natural gas, oil, and renewables generation in the quarter alone. GAAP net income swung sharply higher to $4.49 per share from $0.38 a year ago, reflecting the scale of the combined entity despite $119 million in after-tax merger and integration costs. Management reaffirmed full-year 2026 adjusted operating earnings guidance of $11.00 to $12.00 per share and projected base EPS growth of 20% or more through 2029, with PJM's emerging Reliability Backstop Procurement framework seen as a potential catalyst for additional data center contracting across Constellation's nuclear fleet.
Key Takeaways
- • Addition of Calpine fleet contributing 26,497 GWhs of natural gas/oil/renewables generation
- • Favorable stock-based compensation and nuclear PTC portfolio effects
- • Market and portfolio conditions
- • Higher capacity revenue in certain regions
- • PJM capacity prices increased significantly (PJM West $269.92/MWd vs $53.60 year-ago)
CEG Forward Guidance & Outlook
Constellation affirmed its full-year 2026 adjusted operating earnings guidance of $11.00 to $12.00 per share based on expected average diluted shares of 361 million. The company projects base EPS growth of 20%+ from 2026 through 2029, with base earnings estimates of $6.65-$6.75 per share in 2026 and $7.60-$7.70 in 2027, targeting 2029 base earnings of $11.40-$11.90 per share. The long-term target is rolling three-year base EPS growth of 10%+. Management expects $8.4 billion in free cash flow before growth in 2026-2027 and $11.5-$13.0 billion in 2028-2029. Growth outlook excludes upside from capturing premium value on 147 million MWhs of available nuclear generation, securing additional natural gas contracts, and accretive capital allocation. PJM's Reliability Backstop Procurement framework, expected to enable bilateral contracting beginning March 2027, could unlock additional data center contracting opportunities. The company sees $0.20-$0.50 EPS impact per 1,000 MW of powered land deals similar to the Freestone/CyrusOne transaction.
CEG YoY Financials
Q1 2026 vs Q1 2025, source: SEC Filings
“America needs reliable, clean power and Constellation is built to meet this demand with the strength of our fleet and the solutions we're delivering for customers. Right now, our focus is on execution – operating at a high level, integrating two great companies, bringing new resources to market, and navigating a changing regulatory environment – led by the women and men who power our business every day.”
— Joe Dominguez, Q1 2026 Earnings Press Release
CEG Earnings Trends
CEG vs Market 30 Day Price Reactions
30-day stock return vs benchmark after each earnings
CEG EPS Trend
Earnings per share: estimate vs actual
CEG Revenue Trend
Quarterly revenue: estimate vs actual
CEG Quarterly Results
5 quarters of earnings data
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | Revenue | Rev. Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 26 | — | $2.74 | — | $11.12B | +27.69% |
| Q4 25 BEAT FY | $2.26 | $2.30 | +1.83% | $6.07B | -41.21% |
| FY Full Year | — | $9.39 | — | $25.53B | — |
| Q3 25 | — | $3.04 | — | $6.57B | — |
| Q2 25 BEAT | $1.82 | $1.91 | +4.80% | $6.10B | +25.09% |
| Q1 25 MISS | $2.15 | $2.14 | -0.69% | $6.79B | +24.78% |