Citizens Financial Group Inc
Q3 2025 Earnings
Market Reaction
S&P 500 over the same 30 days: +1.02%.
Did CFG Beat Earnings? Q3 2025 Results
Citizens Financial Group posted a solid third quarter of 2025, with earnings per share of $1.05 beating the $1.03 consensus estimate by 2.20%, while revenue of $2.12 billion edged past expectations by 0.82%, even as the top line fell 31.1% year over year amid ongoing balance sheet restructuring. The standout driver behind the quarter was a powerful combination of capital markets and wealth management momentum, with capital markets fees climbing 77% year over year to $166.00 million, its strongest showing in several years, while net interest margin expanded to 3.00% on a fully taxable-equivalent basis, up 23 basis points from a year ago, fueled by the continued runoff of the Non-Core portfolio and diminishing terminated swap headwinds. Credit quality also improved, with net charge-offs narrowing to 46 basis points from 54 basis points a year ago. CEO Bruce Van Saun has pointed to wealth and capital markets as the central engines of the bank's growth story, and management's fourth-quarter guidance reinforces that optimism, projecting net interest income growth of 2.5 to 3% and charge-offs trending into the low 40 basis point range.
- NIM expansion to 3.00% driven by Non-Core runoff and terminated swap benefits
- Capital Markets fees up 58% QoQ and 77% YoY, strongest quarter since Q4 2021
- Private Bank contributing $0.08 to EPS, up $0.02 QoQ
- 3% sequential positive operating leverage
- Efficiency ratio improved to 63.03% from 66.23% YoY, a 320 bps improvement
- Net charge-offs declined to 46 bps from 54 bps YoY and 48 bps QoQ
- Fixed-rate asset repricing benefits in securities and mortgage
- ROTCE of 11.75%, up 230 bps YoY
- Tangible book value per share grew 10% YoY to $36.73
“We are pleased to report very strong results for the third quarter, paced by excellent NII and fee growth, 3% sequential positive operating leverage, and credit results that continue to trend favorably. Loan and deposit growth was solid, as the Private Bank delivered strong performance. A pick-up in market activity drove our highest Capital Markets revenues since fourth quarter of 2021, with pipelines remaining strong. Our Reimagine the Bank initiative continues to take shape and will positively contribute to delivery of our medium-term targets. All in all, we feel we have good momentum and are very well-positioned for the medium-term.”
Citizens Financial Group CEO, on the earnings call
Forward Guidance & Outlook
For Q4 2025 vs. Q3 2025: NII expected up 2.5-3% with NIM up approximately 5 bps and earning assets up slightly. Noninterest income expected stable. Noninterest expense stable to up slightly. Net charge-offs expected to continue favorable trend to low 40s bps. CET1 ratio expected stable with approximately $125 million in share repurchases. Tax rate expected approximately 22.5%. Over the medium term, management targets NIM of 3.25% to 3.50% and ROTCE of 16-18%, supported by NII tailwinds from Non-Core and swap runoff, Private Bank scaling, and the Reimagine the Bank program which aspires to fully phased-in run-rate benefits greater than $400 million. TOP 10 on target to deliver pre-tax run-rate benefit of approximately $100 million by year-end 2025.
CFG YoY Financials
CFG Revenue by Segment
Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.