Chord Energy Corp - New
Q1 2025 Earnings
Market Reaction
S&P 500 over the same 30 days: +6.87%.
Did CHRD Beat Earnings? Q1 2025 Results
Chord Energy posted a decisive first-quarter 2025 beat, with earnings per share of $4.04 clearing the $3.54 consensus estimate by 14.28% as revenue of $1.22 billion topped expectations by 3.33% and grew 12.00% year over year. The outperformance traced directly to better-than-modeled well results and disciplined cost control, with oil production of 153.7 MBopd finishing above the high end of guidance even as winter weather created operational headwinds. Lease operating expenses of $9.56 per Boe came in below the midpoint of guidance, reinforcing the efficiency story, while the company returned 100% of adjusted free cash flow to shareholders through $216.50 million in buybacks. Looking ahead, Chord is holding its full-year 2025 oil production target at 152.5 MBopd while trimming E&P capital by $30.00 million to roughly $1.37 billion, and at $60 per barrel WTI it expects approximately $2.20 billion in adjusted EBITDA and $650.00 million in adjusted free cash flow for the year.
- Better than modeled well performance drove oil production above guidance
- Solid cost control with LOE at $9.56/Boe below midpoint of guidance
- Improved downtime management despite difficult winter conditions
- Seasonally strong regional benchmark prices for gas and NGL realizations
- Natural gas revenues nearly doubled sequentially due to higher gas prices ($2.30/Mcf vs $1.21/Mcf in Q4)
- NGL realizations improved to $14.18/Bbl from $10.07/Bbl in Q4
“Chord's first quarter performance demonstrates strong operational momentum. We benefited from better than modeled well performance, solid cost control, and improved downtime, leading to strong oil production and free cash flow above expectations. Our compelling asset base and proficient execution continue to support high levels of shareholder distributions, with 100% of free cash flow returned to shareholders for the second consecutive quarter. Share repurchases comprised the entirety of returns after the base dividend, and we expect continued focus on share repurchases going forward. I thank the Chord employees for their resilience in overcoming difficult winter conditions and putting the Company on excellent footing for the remainder of the year.”
Chord Energy CEO, on the earnings call
Forward Guidance & Outlook
Chord is maintaining FY25 oil production guidance of 152.5 MBopd while reducing E&P and other CapEx by $30MM to approximately $1.37B, driven by operational efficiencies. At $60/Bbl WTI and $3.75/MMBtu Henry Hub for Q2–Q4, the company expects FY25 Adjusted EBITDA of approximately $2.2B and Adjusted Free Cash Flow of approximately $650MM. Chord is reducing activity per its original 2025 plan with a bias toward not returning a second completions crew given the deteriorating macro backdrop, which would further reduce capital with minimal impact to FY25 production. For Q2 2025, oil volumes are guided at 153.0–156.0 MBopd with E&P CapEx of $355–$385MM. LOE guidance was decreased by $0.30/Boe to $9.60/Boe for FY25.
CHRD YoY Financials
CHRD Revenue by Segment
Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.