Cummins Inc
Q4 2025 Earnings
Market Reaction
S&P 500 over the same 30 days: −0.06%.
Did CMI Beat Earnings? Q4 2025 Results
Cummins delivered a split verdict in Q4 2025, posting revenue that cleared Wall Street's bar while earnings fell well short, as steep charges tied to a strategic retreat from the hydrogen electrolyzer market weighed heavily on the bottom line. The Columbus-based engine maker reported revenue of $8.54 billion, up 1.1% year-over-year and ahead of the $8.10 billion consensus by 5.35%, but earnings per share of $4.27 missed the $5.02 estimate by 14.89%, dragged down by $218 million in charges within the Accelera segment after the company decided to exit new commercial electrolyzer activity following deteriorating hydrogen adoption expectations. Strength in Distribution and Power Systems, both riding surging data center backup power demand, offset continued softness in the Engine and Components segments, where North American truck markets remained sluggish. GAAP net income improved to $593 million from $418 million a year ago. Looking ahead, Cummins guided 2026 revenue growth of 3% to 8% with EBITDA margins of 17% to 18%, anticipating a modest recovery in North American on-highway truck demand in the second half alongside sustained data center momentum.
- Robust demand for data center backup power generation driving Distribution and Power Systems growth
- Disciplined cost management and diversified portfolio offsetting North America truck market weakness
- International revenue growth of 5% in Q4 partially offsetting 2% North America decline
- Strong equity income from investees, up to $116 million from $70 million year-over-year in Q4
“Cummins delivered strong operational results in the fourth quarter and full year despite continued weakness in North America truck markets. Our Distribution and Power Systems segments achieved record full-year sales and profitability as a result of disciplined execution and robust demand for data center backup power.”
Cummins CEO, on the earnings call
Forward Guidance & Outlook
For full-year 2026, Cummins projects revenue to increase 3% to 8% and EBITDA to be in the range of 17.0% to 18.0% of sales. The company anticipates slightly better demand in North America on-highway truck markets, particularly in the second half of the year, paired with continued strength in data center power generation markets. The effective tax rate for 2026, excluding discrete items, is expected to approximate 24.0%. Cummins plans to continue generating strong operating cash flow and is committed to its long-term strategic goal of returning 50% of operating cash flow to shareholders.
CMI YoY Financials
CMI Revenue by Segment
Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.