Coterra Energy Inc
Q2 2025 Earnings
Market Reaction
Did CTRA Beat Earnings? Q2 2025 Results
Coterra Energy posted a decisive beat across the board in the second quarter of 2025, with adjusted EPS of $0.48 clearing the $0.45 consensus estimate by 6.95% and revenue of $1.97 billion topping expectations of $1.69 billion by 16.53%, representing a 52.7% surge from the year-ago period. The headline driver was a production blowout, with total equivalent output of 783.9 MBoepd clearing the high end of Coterra's own 710-760 MBoepd guidance range, powered notably by natural gas volumes of 2,998.6 MMcfpd that materially exceeded the 2,700-2,850 MMcfpd target, even as the company spent $569 million in capital, below the low end of its $575-$650 million guidance range. Adjusted EBITDAX reached $1.10 billion and operating cash flow totaled $937 million for the quarter. Coterra parlayed the operational strength into raised full-year production guidance of 755-780 MBoepd, with free cash flow projected at $2.10 billion at current strip prices, while a new Permian power netback gas deal with a West Texas power plant, delivering 50 MMcf per day starting in 2028 at ERCOT-linked pricing, adds a premium marketing layer to its expanding natural gas portfolio.
- Total BOE and natural gas production exceeded high-end of guidance ranges
- Oil volumes beat midpoint by approximately 2%
- Capital expenditures (non-GAAP) came in below the low end of guidance at $569 million vs. $575-$650 million range
- Strong capital efficiency driven by lower than expected capital expenditures and higher than expected production
- Natural gas realized price of $2.20/Mcf up from $1.26/Mcf in Q2 2024
- Permian Basin daily equivalent production increased to 358.6 MBoepd from 258.4 MBoepd year-over-year
“We are pleased to report an excellent quarter with strong capital efficiency driven by lower than expected capital expenditures and higher than expected production.”
Coterra Energy CEO, on the earnings call
Forward Guidance & Outlook
Coterra raised full-year 2025 total equivalent production guidance to 755–780 MBoepd (from 710–770) and natural gas guidance to 2,875–2,950 MMcfpd (from 2,675–2,875), while maintaining oil production midpoint at 160 MBopd (range 157–163). Full-year capital expenditures (non-GAAP) are expected at approximately $2.3 billion with an updated range of $2.1–$2.3 billion. Free cash flow is projected at $2.1 billion at recent strip prices (WTI $66/bbl, Henry Hub $3.67/MMBtu). Q3 2025 guidance calls for total equivalent production of 740–790 MBoepd, oil of 158–168 MBopd, natural gas of 2,750–2,900 MMcfpd, and capital expenditures of $625–$675 million. The company expects to run consistent second-half activity and is prioritizing debt reduction to retire the remaining $650 million in term loans. The effective tax rate is estimated at 22% for full-year 2025.
CTRA YoY Financials
CTRA Revenue by Segment
Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.