Franco-Nevada Corporation
Q4 2025 Earnings
Market Reaction
S&P 500 over the same 30 days: +1.44%.
Did FNV Beat Earnings? Q4 2025 Results
Franco-Nevada delivered a standout fourth quarter, posting earnings of $1.90 per share against a consensus estimate of $1.67, a beat of 13.91%, while revenue of $597.30 million topped expectations by 12.11% and surged 86.1% year-over-year. The primary engine behind those figures was a powerful rally in precious metal prices, with gold averaging $4,145 per ounce in the quarter, up 55.7% from a year earlier, and silver climbing 75.0% to $54.83 per ounce; precious metals accounted for 90% of Q4 revenue and helped push adjusted EBITDA margins to 90.6% for the quarter. The results capped a full-year revenue figure of $1.82 billion, a 64% increase, with diluted EPS of $5.76 compared to $2.87 in 2024. Institutional interest in the royalty and streaming model has remained firm, with ownership hovering near 77%. Looking ahead, Franco-Nevada guides 2026 Total GEOs of 510,000 to 570,000, with a five-year target of 555,000 to 615,000 GEOs by 2030, assuming key project starts including Cascabel and Eskay Creek, and notably excluding any contribution from Cobre Panamá. <a href="https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/02/19/live-newmont-corporation-reports-after-the-bell/">Peer gold producers</a> have similarly benefited from the favorable pricing environment this cycle.
- Record gold prices averaging $4,145/oz in Q4 2025, up 55.7% YoY
- Record silver prices averaging $54.83/oz in Q4 2025, up 75.0% YoY
- Strong production from Antamina with higher silver grades and timing of shipments
- Contributions from recently acquired Côté Gold, Western Limb, and Porcupine assets
- Strong production from South Arturo open pit
- Higher production from Guadalupe-Palmarejo with greater proportion from stream ground
- Precious metals accounted for 90% of Q4 2025 revenue
- Full-year gain on sale of gold and silver bullion of $54.3 million
- Full-year interest revenue of $14.2 million from precious metals segment
“We achieved the top end of our revised 2025 GEO guidance range thanks to a strong fourth quarter. The record increase in our annual cash flow allowed us to announce a 16% dividend increase in January this year. 2025 joined 2024 as two of our best-ever years for capital deployment. That success has continued post year-end and we have announced four further attractive acquisitions, all of which add additional optionality and create real value for shareholders rather than simply adding scale. Our 2026 guidance and the five-year outlook point to a strong growth foundation and the tremendous amount of exploration capital expected to be spent by operators on projects in our deep royalty portfolio is set to provide powerful additional organic growth. A restart of Cobre Panama would add significant further growth, and the Panamanian Government's willingness to approve the processing of stockpiles is a positive step in that direction. With the industry's largest portfolio of gold royalties, no debt and $3.1 billion in available capital we are uniquely positioned to continue to create shareholder value.”
Franco-Nevada CEO, on the earnings call
Forward Guidance & Outlook
For 2026, Franco-Nevada guides Total GEOs of 510,000 to 570,000, with approximately 90% from Precious Metal assets and 10% from Diversified assets. No contributions from Cobre Panamá are assumed, though processing of stockpiled ore could deliver approximately 23,100 gold ounces and 265,000 silver ounces if approved. The five-year outlook targets 555,000 to 615,000 GEOs by 2030, assuming production starts at Cascabel, Copper World, Eskay Creek, Stibnite Gold, and Rebecca-Roe, plus expansions at Detour Lake, Magino, and Castle Mountain Phase 2. Should Cobre Panamá restart, the stream could contribute 150,000 to 175,000 GEOs annually at full capacity. Depletion and depreciation expense is expected at $310-340 million and the effective tax rate at 20-23% for 2026. Guidance assumes commodity prices of $4,500/oz Au, $75/oz Ag, $70/bbl WTI oil, and $3.00/mcf natural gas.
FNV YoY Financials
FNV Revenue by Segment
FNV Revenue by Geography
Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.