Q3 25 EPS
$0.03
MISS 50.74%
Est. $0.06
Q3 25 Revenue
$346.8M
MISS 11.62%
Est. $392.4M
vs S&P Since Q3 25
+35.1%
BEATING MARKET
HBM +44.2% vs S&P +9.1%
Market Reaction
Did HBM Beat Earnings? Q3 2025 Results
Hudbay Minerals delivered a sharply disappointing third quarter, with operational disruptions overwhelming an otherwise constructive commodity price backdrop and leaving both earnings and revenue well short of expectations. The Canadian miner posted … Read more Hudbay Minerals delivered a sharply disappointing third quarter, with operational disruptions overwhelming an otherwise constructive commodity price backdrop and leaving both earnings and revenue well short of expectations. The Canadian miner posted adjusted EPS of $0.03 for Q3 2025, missing the $0.06 consensus estimate by 50.74%, while revenue of $346.80 million fell 11.62% below forecasts and slid 28.6% year-over-year. The primary culprit was a confluence of forced outages: seven weeks of wildfire evacuation closures at Snow Lake in Manitoba, nine days of social unrest-driven suspension at the Constancia mine in Peru, and a deferred $60.00 million copper concentrate shipment delayed by ocean swells, collectively compressing adjusted EBITDA to $142.60 million from $245.20 million in Q2. Despite the headline misses, analysts have broadly maintained a constructive view on the stock. Looking ahead, Hudbay improved its full-year consolidated cash cost guidance to $0.15-$0.35 per pound of copper and flagged the pending Mitsubishi joint venture for Copper World as a transformative catalyst expected to close in late 2025 or early 2026.
Key Takeaways
- • Higher realized gold prices (gold represented 38% of Q3 revenue)
- • Strong cost control across operations despite temporary interruptions
- • Higher gold production from Pampacancha ore at Peru operations
- • Record gold recoveries of 92% at New Britannia mill and 73% at Stall mill
- • Peru cash cost of $1.30/lb outperformed the low end of cost guidance range
- • Manitoba gold cash cost of $379/oz decreased vs prior quarter
HBM YoY Financials
Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024, source: SEC Filings
HBM Revenue by Segment
With YoY comparisons, source: SEC Filings
HBM Revenue by Geography
Regional revenue distribution
“This was a quarter of resilience for Hudbay as we demonstrated the strength of our operating capabilities and the benefit of our diversified operating platform at a time of mandatory wildfire evacuations in Manitoba and temporary operational interruptions in Peru. Through our team's continued focus on delivery and driving operating efficiencies in the face of these challenges, we expect to achieve the low end of our consolidated copper and gold production guidance ranges and we are further improving our consolidated cost guidance for 2025. During the third quarter, we continued to take steps to reduce long-term debt, reinvest in high-return growth projects and advance our strategic initiatives to build a stable and diversified operating platform with significant copper growth upside. We are delighted to have secured a premier long-term strategic partner in Mitsubishi, enabling us to unlock significant value in our copper growth pipeline, further solidify our financial strength and significantly reduce our share of the remaining capital contributions for the development of Copper World. Hudbay's unique copper and gold diversification, combined with our continued focus on cost control, enable us to maintain industry-leading margins and deliver strong and stable cash flows.”
— Peter Kukielski, Q3 2025 Earnings Press Release
HBM Earnings Trends
HBM vs Market 30 Day Price Reactions
30-day stock return vs benchmark after each earnings
HBM EPS Trend
Earnings per share: estimate vs actual
HBM Revenue Trend
Quarterly revenue: estimate vs actual
HBM Quarterly Results
5 quarters of earnings data
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | Revenue | Rev. Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 26 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Q1 26 BEAT | $0.34 | $0.40 | +16.55% | $757.3M | +10.23% |
| Q4 25 MISS FY | $0.39 | $0.32 | -17.10% | $732.9M | -0.23% |
| FY Full Year | — | $1.44 | — | $2.21B | — |
| Q3 25 MISS | $0.06 | $0.03 | -50.74% | $346.8M | -11.62% |
| Q2 25 BEAT | $0.10 | $0.19 | +95.67% | $536.4M | +1.45% |