Q4 25 EPS
$10.68
BEAT +175.81%
Est. $3.87
Q4 25 Revenue
$5.45B
MISS 4.97%
Est. $5.73B
vs S&P Since Q4 25
-8.9%
TRAILING MARKET
LNG -7.0% vs S&P +1.9%
Full Year 2025 Results
FY 25 EPS
$24.13
BEAT +78.69%
Est. $13.50
FY 25 Revenue
$19.98B
MISS 0.04%
Est. $19.98B
Market Reaction
Did LNG Beat Earnings? Q4 2025 Results
Cheniere Energy delivered a solidly on-target first quarter for 2026, with revenues of $5.87 billion edging ahead of the $5.85 billion consensus estimate and rising 10.2% year-over-year, as a record 187 LNG cargoes exported, up 11% from a year ago, p… Read more Cheniere Energy delivered a solidly on-target first quarter for 2026, with revenues of $5.87 billion edging ahead of the $5.85 billion consensus estimate and rising 10.2% year-over-year, as a record 187 LNG cargoes exported, up 11% from a year ago, powered the top line. The headline result carried an unusual distortion, however: a GAAP net loss of $3.50 billion, versus net income of $353 million in Q1 2025, driven entirely by $5.41 billion in non-cash fair value losses on commodity and FX derivatives tied to long-term IPM agreements, an accounting mismatch management was quick to flag. Strip those items out, and Adjusted Net Income rose to $1.01 billion from $794 million a year earlier, while Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA climbed 25% to $2.33 billion. Cheniere also lifted its full-year 2026 Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $7.25 billion to $7.75 billion, reflecting improved market margins and higher LNG production forecasts, with institutional investors continuing to add to positions ahead of the print.
Key Takeaways
- • Record 187 LNG cargoes exported in Q1 2026, up 11% year-over-year
- • LNG volumes loaded increased 13% to 688 TBtu
- • Higher total margins on LNG delivered driven by increased volumes and optimization activities
- • Recognition of a nonrecurring tax credit during Q1 2026
- • Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA increased 25% year-over-year to $2.33 billion
LNG Forward Guidance & Outlook
Cheniere raised its full-year 2026 financial guidance. Consolidated Adjusted EBITDA is now expected to range from $7.25 billion to $7.75 billion, up from the previous range of $6.75 billion to $7.25 billion. Distributable Cash Flow guidance was raised to $4.75 billion to $5.25 billion, up from $4.35 billion to $4.85 billion. The increase reflects higher LNG production forecasts, improved market margins, and contributions from optimization activities year-to-date. CCL Stage 3 Trains 6 and 7 are expected to reach substantial completion by the end of 2026. First LNG from Train 6 is expected imminently. The CCL Midscale Trains 8 & 9 Project has an expected substantial completion in 2H 2028. The SPL Expansion Project and CCL Expansion Project remain in regulatory permitting.
LNG YoY Financials
Q4 2025 vs Q4 2024, source: SEC Filings
LNG Revenue by Segment
With YoY comparisons, source: SEC Filings
“2026 is off to an excellent start, thanks to the Cheniere team's commitment to safety, operational excellence and seamless execution. We are raising our 2026 financial guidance as a result of an increase in our LNG production forecast and higher market margins for the year, as well as the contribution from optimization activities achieved year-to-date.”
— Jack Fusco, Q4 2025 Earnings Press Release
LNG Earnings Trends
LNG vs Market 30 Day Price Reactions
30-day stock return vs benchmark after each earnings
LNG EPS Trend
Earnings per share: estimate vs actual
LNG Revenue Trend
Quarterly revenue: estimate vs actual
LNG Quarterly Results
5 quarters of earnings data
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | Revenue | Rev. Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 26 | — | — | — | $5.87B | +0.39% |
| Q4 25 BEAT FY | $3.87 | $10.68 | +175.81% | $5.45B | -4.97% |
| FY Full Year | $13.50 | $24.13 | +78.69% | $19.98B | -0.04% |
| Q3 25 BEAT | $2.78 | $4.75 | +71.11% | $4.44B | -0.96% |
| Q2 25 BEAT | $2.42 | $7.30 | +201.69% | $4.64B | +8.08% |
| Q1 25 MISS | $3.19 | $1.57 | -50.80% | $5.44B | +9.88% |