Q2 26 EPS
$-1.97
BEAT +0.00%
Est. $-1.97
Q2 26 Revenue
$145.0M
vs S&P Since Q2 26
+5.4%
BEATING MARKET
MRNA +8.8% vs S&P +3.4%
Market Reaction
Did MRNA Beat Earnings? Q2 2026 Results
Moderna posted second-quarter 2026 results that matched Wall Street expectations precisely, extending its EPS beat streak to five consecutive quarters even as the company continues navigating a post-pandemic revenue reset. The Cambridge-based mRNA pi… Read more Moderna posted second-quarter 2026 results that matched Wall Street expectations precisely, extending its EPS beat streak to five consecutive quarters even as the company continues navigating a post-pandemic revenue reset. The Cambridge-based mRNA pioneer reported revenue of $145.00 million, a modest 2.1% increase from a year ago, as softer COVID vaccine volumes in the U.S. And South America were offset by UK government deliveries and higher collaboration revenue. Loss per share came in at $-1.97, exactly in line with the consensus estimate of $-1.97. The most material driver of improvement was cost discipline, with cost of sales falling 22% year-over-year to $93.00 million on manufacturing productivity gains, helping narrow the net loss to $782.00 million from $825.00 million a year prior. Looking ahead, Moderna reiterated guidance for up to 10% revenue growth in 2026 and raised its year-end cash projection to $4.70 to $5.20 billion, while an August 5 PDUFA date for its influenza vaccine mFLUSIVA looms as the next significant catalyst.
Key Takeaways
- • UK deliveries under long-term strategic government partnership offset lower U.S. and South American COVID vaccine sales
- • Higher stand-ready manufacturing and collaboration revenue
- • 22% decrease in cost of sales driven by manufacturing productivity improvements and operational efficiencies
- • 7% decrease in R&D expenses from wind-down of several late-stage programs
- • 6% decrease in SG&A reflecting continued cost discipline
MRNA Forward Guidance & Outlook
Moderna reiterates its plan to deliver up to 10% revenue growth in 2026 from 2025 levels, with an approximate 50% U.S. and 50% international revenue split. Approximately 55% of second-half 2026 revenue is expected in Q3. The company improved its 2026 GAAP operating expense outlook by approximately $0.2 billion: cost of sales is now expected at approximately $1.7 billion (including $0.9 billion non-recurring litigation settlement), R&D at approximately $2.9 billion, and SG&A at approximately $1.0 billion. Capital expenditures are expected at $0.2-$0.3 billion. Year-end cash and investments are projected at $4.7-$5.2 billion, excluding potential drawdowns from $0.9 billion available under its credit facility. Key catalysts include the August 5 PDUFA date for mFLUSIVA, potential Phase 3 adjuvant melanoma data for intismeran, and potential propionic acidemia registrational data, all potentially in 2026.
MRNA YoY Financials
Q2 2026 vs Q2 2025, source: SEC Filings
MRNA Revenue by Segment
With YoY comparisons, source: SEC Filings
MRNA Revenue by Geography
With YoY comparisons, source: SEC Filings
“The second quarter marked another period of strong execution for Moderna as we advanced our pipeline and strengthened our financial profile with an improved 2026 operating expense outlook.”
— Stéphane Bancel, Q2 2026 Earnings Press Release
MRNA Earnings Trends
MRNA vs Market 30 Day Price Reactions
30-day stock return vs benchmark after each earnings
MRNA EPS Trend
Earnings per share: estimate vs actual
MRNA Revenue Trend
Quarterly revenue: estimate vs actual
MRNA Quarterly Results
6 quarters of earnings data
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | Revenue | Rev. Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 26 BEAT | $-1.97 | $-1.97 | +0.00% | $145.0M | — |
| Q1 26 BEAT | $-3.88 | $-3.40 | +12.37% | $389.0M | +64.58% |
| Q4 25 BEAT FY | $-2.60 | $-2.11 | +18.88% | $678.0M | +8.67% |
| FY Full Year | $-7.89 | $-7.26 | +7.97% | $1.94B | +3.55% |
| Q3 25 BEAT | $-2.18 | $-0.51 | +76.60% | $1.02B | +16.80% |
| Q2 25 BEAT | $-2.97 | $-2.13 | +28.34% | $142.0M | +25.71% |
| Q1 25 BEAT | $-3.18 | $-2.52 | +20.69% | $108.0M | -6.35% |