Northrop Grumman Corp
Q4 2025 Earnings
Market Reaction
S&P 500 over the same 30 days: −1.37%.
Did NOC Beat Earnings? Q4 2025 Results
Northrop Grumman closed out 2025 on a high note, posting Q4 adjusted diluted EPS of $7.23 against a consensus estimate of $6.96 — a beat of 3.88% — while revenue climbed 9.6% year-over-year to $11.71 billion, lifted by broad-based segment growth and an 18% surge in Aeronautics Systems driven by F-35 materials volume and the E-130J TACAMO program ramp. Operating margin expanded 70 basis points to 10.9%, and the company's backlog swelled to a record $95.70 billion, underpinned by a full-year book-to-bill ratio of 1.10 and anchored by significant Q4 awards including $4.00 billion for restricted programs and $2.50 billion for GEM 63 rocket motors — positioning Northrop among the <a href="https://247wallst.com/investing/2026/01/23/top-5-defense-aerospace-stocks-after-microsofts-170m-air-force-win/">most visible names in defense</a> heading into 2026. Management guided next year's sales to $43.50–$44.00 billion with MTM-adjusted EPS of $27.40–$27.90 and free cash flow of $3.10–$3.50 billion, projecting continued mid-single digit top-line growth consistent with its October outlook.
- F-35 program materials volume increase of $274 million in Q4
- E-130J TACAMO program ramp contributing $153 million in Q4 sales growth
- Record backlog of $95.7 billion with 1.10 book-to-bill ratio
- Mission Systems 10% revenue growth driven by restricted airborne radar and international ground-based radar
- FAS/CAS operating adjustment increased $57 million in Q4
- $394 million after-tax MTM pension benefit
- Lower capital expenditures contributed to free cash flow growth
- OBBBA tax legislation reinstating R&D expensing reduced net tax payments
“We delivered outstanding results in 2025 through strong performance and a laser focus on our customers' and stakeholders' highest priorities. Investments in anticipation of our customers' requirements and ability to deliver differentiating technology at speed and scale position us well to continue to meet the moment for our nation and our partners around the globe. Our record backlog supports our 2026 outlook of mid-single digit sales growth and we are confident in our ability to deliver continued strong performance.”
Northrop Grumman CEO, on the earnings call
Forward Guidance & Outlook
For 2026, Northrop Grumman projects sales of $43,500–$44,000 million (mid-single digit growth), segment operating income of $4,850–$5,000 million, MTM-adjusted EPS of $27.40–$27.90, and free cash flow of $3,100–$3,500 million. Segment-level guidance includes Aeronautics Systems sales in the mid-$13 billion range with low-to-mid 9% operating margin, Defense Systems in the mid-to-high $8 billion range at approximately 10% margin, Mission Systems in the high-$12 billion range with high 14% margin, and Space Systems at approximately $11 billion with approximately 11% margin. The guidance assumes no prolonged government shutdown or application of spending limits, and is consistent with the outlook provided in October 2025.
NOC YoY Financials
NOC Revenue by Segment
Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.