NOG Q4 2025 Earnings
Reported Feb 25, 2026 at 4:16 PM ET · SEC Source
Q4 25 EPS
$0.83
BEAT +7.58%
Est. $0.77
Q4 25 Revenue
$610.2M
BEAT +17.44%
Est. $519.6M
vs S&P Since Q4 25
-32.2%
TRAILING MARKET
NOG -26.4% vs S&P +5.8%
Full Year 2025 Results
FY 25 EPS
$4.57
FY 25 Revenue
$2.48B
Market Reaction
Did NOG Beat Earnings? Q4 2025 Results
Northern Oil and Gas closed out Q4 2025 with a mixed set of results, posting adjusted earnings of $0.83 per diluted share and revenue of $610.18 million, up 11.1% year over year, but falling short of Wall Street's consensus EPS estimate of $0.96 by 1… Read more Northern Oil and Gas closed out Q4 2025 with a mixed set of results, posting adjusted earnings of $0.83 per diluted share and revenue of $610.18 million, up 11.1% year over year, but falling short of Wall Street's consensus EPS estimate of $0.96 by 13.14%. The shortfall was driven primarily by a punishing commodity price environment: WTI averaged just $59.14 per barrel during the quarter, while widening Williston Basin takeaway constraints pressured oil differentials and weak NGL prices weighed on natural gas realizations, pushing oil and gas sales down to $447.72 million from $545.47 million a year ago. A non-cash impairment charge of $268.50 million on the company's full cost pool of oil and gas assets further clouded the headline GAAP figures, resulting in a net loss of $70.73 million for the quarter. On the operational side, production grew 6% year over year to 140,064 Boe per day, with record natural gas volumes up 24%. Looking ahead, NOG's dual-scenario 2026 guidance targets production of 139,000 to 148,000 Boe per day, with capital expenditures ranging from $850 million to $1.10 billion depending on commodity price conditions.
Key Takeaways
- • Production increased 6% year-over-year to 140,064 Boe per day in Q4 2025
- • Record natural gas production of 392,163 Mcf per day, up 24% year-over-year
- • 24.2 net wells turned in line in Q4, highest quarterly total of 2025
- • Weaker oil pricing offset volume gains, with WTI averaging $59.14/Bbl in Q4
- • Widened oil differentials in the Williston due to constrained takeaway capacity
- • Lower NGL prices and extremely low Waha Hub natural gas pricing pressured gas realizations
- • Non-cash ceiling test impairment of $268.5 million driven by lower average oil prices
- • Commodity derivative hedging generated $72.9 million in settled cash gains in Q4
NOG YoY Financials
Q4 2025 vs Q4 2024, source: SEC Filings
“Despite a challenging commodity price environment, NOG delivered growth in Adjusted EBITDA and production while further strengthening our balance sheet. Production increased 9% year over year, supported by increased investment in our natural gas portfolio and continued disciplined capital allocation. We expanded our asset base through approximately $340.0 million of value‑accretive acquisitions, including a record level of Ground Game activity in 2025, and our recently closed marquee Joint Ohio Utica transaction will add substantial scale to our Appalachian position. In tandem with a rigorous business development focus, we also strengthened our balance sheet by extending maturities and enhancing our liquidity.”
— Nick O'Grady, Q4 2025 Earnings Press Release
NOG Earnings Trends
NOG vs Market 30 Day Price Reactions
30-day stock return vs benchmark after each earnings
NOG EPS Trend
Earnings per share: estimate vs actual
NOG Revenue Trend
Quarterly revenue: estimate vs actual
NOG Quarterly Results
4 quarters of earnings data
| Quarter | EPS Est. | EPS Act. | Surprise | Revenue | Rev. Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 26 BEAT | $0.68 | $0.74 | +9.26% | $539.9M | +6.48% |
| Q4 25 BEAT FY | $0.77 | $0.83 | +7.58% | $610.2M | +17.44% |
| FY Full Year | — | $4.57 | — | $2.48B | — |
| Q3 25 BEAT | $0.87 | $1.03 | +18.28% | $556.6M | +6.19% |
| Q2 25 BEAT | $0.95 | $1.37 | +43.61% | $574.4M | +8.44% |