Novartis AG ADR
Q4 2025 Earnings
Market Reaction
S&P 500 over the same 30 days: −1.15%.
Did NVS Beat Earnings? Q4 2025 Results
Novartis closed out 2025 with a fourth-quarter earnings beat that masked a tale of two portfolios, as next-generation growth drivers more than offset deepening erosion in its legacy lineup. The Swiss drugmaker posted Q4 core EPS of $2.03, edging past the $2.00 consensus by 1.50%, while revenue of $13.34 billion topped estimates by 4.15%, even as reported sales dipped 1.6% year-over-year. The central story was the accelerating generics drag on Entresto, which plunged 43% to $1.25 billion following U.S. generic entry in Q3, while Promacta and Tasigna fell 61% and 56% respectively. Offsetting those pressures, Kisqali surged 46% to $1.32 billion and Pluvicto delivered 72% growth to $605 million on the strength of its pre-taxane mCRPC approval. Looking ahead, Novartis has initiated a new $10 billion buyback program and proposed a dividend of CHF 3.70 per share, with the pending $12 billion acquisition of Avidity Biosciences, expected to close in H1 2026, set to deepen its RNA therapeutics capabilities. Analysts remain broadly constructive on the name, with several major banks maintaining buy-equivalent ratings following the print.
- Kisqali strong volume growth driven by share gains in metastatic and early breast cancer
- Kesimpta increased demand as high-efficacy B-cell therapy with at-home self-administration for RMS
- Pluvicto strong demand growth following pre-taxane mCRPC approval in US
- Scemblix launch momentum in early-line CML setting with 61 markets having early-line approvals
- Cosentyx continued demand from recent launches including HS and IV in the US
- Leqvio growth across all regions achieving blockbuster status for 2025
- Volume contributed 18 percentage points to Q4 growth
- Lower weighted average shares outstanding benefiting EPS from buyback program
Forward Guidance & Outlook
Novartis did not provide specific forward-looking financial guidance in this filing. However, the company outlined strategic priorities to accelerate growth through high-value new molecular entities and launch excellence, deliver returns through operational excellence and disciplined capital allocation, and strengthen foundations through data science and technology. The pending acquisition of Avidity Biosciences for approximately USD 12 billion is expected to close in H1 2026 and will add RNA therapeutics capabilities. The company has initiated a new up-to USD 10 billion share buyback program and proposed a dividend increase to CHF 3.70 per share. R&D milestone commitments total USD 17.5 billion, indicating continued heavy investment in pipeline development.
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Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.