Companies /Consumer Defensive

PepsiCo Inc

NASDAQ: PEP Beverages - Non-alcoholic
$140.52
▲ $0.73 (+0.52%) today
Markets closed · 4:12am ET

Q1 2025 Earnings

Reported Apr 23, 2025, 6:13pm ET · SEC source
$1.48
Miss −0.76%
EPS · est. $1.49
$17.9B
Beat +1.07%
Revenue · est. $17.7B
−17.2%
Trailing market
PEP vs S&P since report
4 quarters
Consecutive EPS beats

Market Reaction

% change · around the report
−3%0+3%Apr 23Apr 24report 6:13pm ETearnings+2.5%−4.7%
−3%0+3%Apr 23Apr 24earnings+2.5%−4.7%
PEP −4.7%S&P 500 +2.5%
−3%0+3%Apr 23Apr 24report 6:13pm ETearnings+3.5%−4.7%
−3%0+3%Apr 23Apr 24earnings+3.5%−4.7%
PEP −4.7%NASDAQ +3.5%
−4%0+4%Apr 22May 1report 6:13pm ETearnings+3.9%−5.6%
−4%0+4%Apr 22May 1earnings+3.9%−5.6%
PEP −5.6%S&P 500 +3.9%
−4%0+4%Apr 22May 1report 6:13pm ETearnings+5.2%−5.6%
−4%0+4%Apr 22May 1earnings+5.2%−5.6%
PEP −5.6%NASDAQ +5.2%
−0.84%
Day of report
−4.89%
Next session
−4.70%
One week
−9.08%
30 days

S&P 500 over the same 30 days: +8.16%.

Did PEP Beat Earnings? Q1 2025 Results

PepsiCo delivered a mixed first quarter for 2025, posting non-GAAP core EPS of $1.48 — a narrow miss against the $1.49 consensus estimate — while revenue of $17.92 billion edged 1.07% ahead of expectations despite slipping 1.8% year over year. The headline figures masked a more troubling undercurrent: a 3-percentage-point foreign exchange headwind weighed heavily on reported results, and GAAP net income fell to $1.83 billion from $2.04 billion a year earlier, underscoring the real cost of an increasingly volatile macro environment. The most consequential development, however, was the company's decision to slash its full-year earnings outlook, with core constant currency EPS now expected to be roughly flat versus 2024 — a sharp retreat from prior guidance of mid-single-digit growth — as tariff-driven supply chain costs and a cautious consumer backdrop bite harder than anticipated. That downgrade stands in contrast to rival Coca-Cola, which maintained its full-year forecast and called tariff disruptions "manageable." Still, PepsiCo reaffirmed its commitment to <a href="https://247wallst.com/investing/2025/12/30/the-dividend-aristocrat-with-53-margins-just-widened-the-gap-on-the-frozen-dividend-competitor/">consecutive annual dividend increases</a>, marking its 53rd straight year of dividend growth as part of roughly $8.60 billion in planned shareholder returns.

Key Takeaways
  • Organic revenue growth of 1.2% driven by 3% effective net pricing offset by 2% organic volume decline
  • International Beverages Franchise organic revenue grew 7% with beverage volume up 3%
  • EMEA organic revenue grew 8% with 16% effective net pricing
  • PBNA core operating profit grew 14% on constant currency basis
  • 3-percentage-point foreign exchange headwind on reported net revenue
  • PFNA organic revenue declined 2% with convenient foods volume down 1%
  • Total convenient foods volume declined 3%, total beverage volume flat

“Our businesses remained resilient in the midst of increasingly dynamic and complex geopolitical and macroeconomic conditions in the first quarter. As we look ahead, we expect more volatility and uncertainty, particularly related to global trade developments, which we expect will increase our supply chain costs. At the same time, consumer conditions in many markets remain subdued and similarly have an uncertain outlook.”

PepsiCo CEO, on the earnings call

Forward Guidance & Outlook

For 2025, PepsiCo continues to expect low-single-digit organic revenue growth and a core annual effective tax rate of approximately 20%. However, the company lowered its EPS outlook due to expected higher supply chain costs related to tariffs, elevated macroeconomic volatility, and a subdued consumer backdrop: core constant currency EPS is now expected to be approximately even with the prior year (previously mid-single-digit growth). This implies a ~3% decline in core EPS compared to 2024 core EPS of $8.16, factoring in ~3-percentage-point FX headwind to reported net revenue and core EPS. Total cash returns to shareholders are expected to be approximately $8.6 billion, comprised of $7.6 billion in dividends and $1.0 billion in share repurchases.

PEP YoY Financials

Q1 2025 vs Q1 2024 · SEC filings Q1 2024 Q1 2025
$0$6.0B$12.0B$18.0B$18.2B$17.9BRevenue$10.0B$10.0BGross Profit$2.8B$2.6BOperating Income$2.0B$1.8BNet Income
$0$6.0B$12.0B$18.0BRevenueGross ProfitOperating IncomeNet Income

PEP Revenue by Segment

PepsiCo Foods North America (PFNA)$6.2B
PepsiCo Beverages North America (PBNA)$5.9B
Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA)$2.4B
Latin America Foods (LatAm Foods)$1.7B
International Beverages Franchise (IB Franchise)$759.0M
Asia Pacific Foods$1.0B

Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.