Spotify Technology S.A.
Q4 2025 Earnings
Market Reaction
S&P 500 over the same 30 days: −4.31%.
Did SPOT Beat Earnings? Q4 2025 Results
Spotify closed out fiscal 2025 with a decisive earnings beat, reporting Q4 EPS of $4.43 against a consensus estimate of $2.85, a 55.57% positive surprise, while revenue of $4.53 billion edged past the $4.52 billion forecast and grew 6.8% year over year. The standout driver was a record gross margin of 33.1%, up 83 basis points year over year, powered by strong Premium segment performance and a notable 441 basis point improvement in Ad-Supported gross margin, which together lifted operating income to $701 million, well above guidance of $620 million. Net income reached $1.17 billion, up sharply from $367 million a year earlier, boosted by $349 million in finance income and a $153 million tax benefit. Monthly active users hit 751 million after 38 million net additions, exceeding internal guidance of 32 million, a figure that has helped analysts counter concerns about AI-driven music tools disrupting the platform's growth. Looking ahead, Spotify guided Q1 2026 revenue of $4.50 billion and operating income of $660 million, with management flagging an approximately 670 basis point foreign exchange headwind to reported growth.
- Record Q4 MAU net adds of 38 million, driven by Rest of World, Latin America, and Europe
- Premium revenue growth of 8% Y/Y (14% constant currency) driven by 10% subscriber gains
- Gross margin expansion to record 33.1% driven by Ad-Supported segment improvement of 441 bps Y/Y
- Social Charges came in €67 million below forecast, boosting operating income
- Strong holiday promotional campaigns and Wrapped engagement of over 300 million users
- Automated ad sales channels remained largest contributors to overall advertising growth
Forward Guidance & Outlook
For Q1 2026, Spotify expects total MAUs of 759 million (approximately 8 million net adds), Premium Subscribers of 293 million (approximately 3 million net adds), total revenue of €4.5 billion (with ~670 bps FX headwind to Y/Y growth, up from ~580 bps in Q4), gross margin of 32.8% (driven by Y/Y favorability in Premium), and operating income of €660 million (incorporating €10 million in Social Charges based on a Q4 close share price of $580.71). The company views the business as well positioned to deliver growth and improving margins as it reinvests to support long-term potential.
SPOT YoY Financials
SPOT Revenue by Segment
SPOT Revenue by Geography
Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.