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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing

TSM Stock Price Prediction

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing

Our Rating: BUY

Based on 24/7 Wall St.'s proprietary analysis, we are setting a target price of $486.54 for Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) over the next 12 months. This target price suggests a 15.10% upside from the current price of $422.70. In an optimistic scenario, TSM could reach as high as $507.68, while our conservative scenario places the floor at $371.72.

Current Price

$422.70

Target Price

$486.54

Optimistic Scenario

$507.68

Conservative Scenario

$371.72

The Bottom Line

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing appears attractively valued at current levels. With a 15.1% upside to our $486.54 target, the risk-reward profile looks favorable for investors with a 12-month time horizon.

12-Month Price Scenarios

Where TSM could be in one year

Optimistic $507.68
Target Price $486.54
Conservative $371.72

This chart shows three potential price paths for TSM over the next 12 months: our Target Price, an Optimistic Scenario, and a Conservative Scenario. Learn how we calculate our price targets →

Loading chart...

Projections are estimates based on current data

Catalysts

Factors that could drive upside

In our optimistic scenario, TSM could reach $507.68 (+20.1% from current price). Key catalysts include:

  • Better-than-expected earnings results
  • Favorable sector and market conditions
  • Positive analyst revisions or upgrades

Risks

Factors that could limit upside

In our conservative scenario, TSM could fall to $371.72 (-12.1% from current price). Key risks include:

  • Earnings misses or guidance cuts
  • Broader market or economic headwinds
  • Increased competition or margin pressure

Analyst Sentiment

Wall Street coverage for TSM

Analyst coverage unavailable

We don't have Wall Street analyst ratings for TSM at this time.

24/7

The 24/7 Factor

Our proprietary price adjustment model

24/7 Wall St.'s stock forecasts utilize a number of factor adjustments that either increase or decrease a stock's 12-month price target. Toggle the factors our model uses on or off below to see how each impacts TSM's share price. Read our full methodology →

Our Adjustment

1.121×

Adjusted Target

$486.54

Factor Components Toggle to simulate

5-Year Price Projection

Long-term quarterly forecast through 2031

Optimistic Scenario

$682.51

+61.5%

Target Price

$668.89

+58.2%

Conservative Scenario

$384.74

-9.0%

Long-term projections factor in increased uncertainty over time. Learn how we calculate these projections →

Social Sentiment

Reddit community analysis

Neutral

53% sentiment score

Low activity

Sentiment Spectrum

Bearish Neutral Bullish

Activity Score

21

out of 100

Frequently Asked Questions

TSM stock price predictions and forecasts

What is the TSM stock price prediction for 2030?

Looking ahead to 2030, our model projects TSM could trade at an average price of $610.23, with a potential range between $457.67 and $762.78. This represents a potential 44.4% return from today's price. Long-term forecasts depend heavily on company execution, competitive dynamics, and broader market conditions.

Is TSM a buy, sell, or hold right now?

24/7 Wall St. currently rates TSM as a BUY. Strong upside (+15.1%)

What is the TSM stock price target in an optimistic scenario?

In our optimistic scenario for TSM, the stock could reach $507.68 over the next 12 months, representing a 20.1% gain from today's price. This scenario assumes favorable conditions materialize, including strong earnings growth, positive market sentiment, and successful execution of company initiatives.

What is the downside risk for TSM stock?

In our conservative scenario, TSM could trade as low as $371.72 over the next 12 months, representing a 12.1% decline from current levels. This scenario accounts for potential headwinds including earnings misses, competitive pressures, or broader market weakness.

How accurate are TSM stock price predictions?

Stock price predictions are forward-looking estimates, not guarantees. Our model for TSM incorporates analyst consensus, valuation metrics, technical indicators, and market sentiment. However, actual stock performance depends on many unpredictable factors including earnings surprises, macroeconomic changes, and market psychology. We provide optimistic and conservative scenarios alongside our target price to illustrate the range of potential outcomes. Always conduct your own research before investing. Read our full methodology →

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