Exxon Mobil Corp
Q1 2025 Earnings
Market Reaction
Did XOM Beat Earnings? Q1 2025 Results
ExxonMobil delivered a mixed first quarter for 2025, posting earnings of $1.76 per diluted share — edging past the $1.7338 consensus estimate by 1.51% — while revenue of $83.13 billion fell 3.44% short of the $86.09 billion Wall Street had expected, even as sales grew 3.4% year over year. The headline profit figure masked a notable year-over-year decline from $2.06 per share in Q1 2024, with sharply weaker refining and chemical margins acting as the primary drag. The bright spot was a surging Upstream segment, where net production climbed 20% to 4.55 million oil-equivalent barrels per day — fueled by the Pioneer acquisition — pushing segment earnings up $1.10 billion year over year to $6.76 billion. ExxonMobil's <a href="https://247wallst.com/investing/2025/12/07/exxon-mobils-43-year-dividend-streak-looks-secure-despite-falling-earnings/">long-running shareholder returns program</a> remained intact, with $9.10 billion distributed in the quarter through dividends and buybacks. Looking ahead, management reiterated full-year capex guidance of $27 billion to $29 billion and said ten new projects starting in 2025 are expected to generate more than $3 billion in 2026 earnings.
- Advantaged volume growth in Permian Basin and Guyana drove Upstream earnings higher
- Pioneer Natural Resources acquisition contributed to 20% net production increase (767,000 boed)
- Cumulative structural cost savings of $12.7 billion versus 2019 including $0.6 billion additional in Q1
- Significantly weaker industry refining margins pressured Energy Products earnings
- Weaker crude realizations partially offset Upstream gains
- Favorable timing effects from unsettled derivatives and LIFO inventory accounting
“In this uncertain market, our shareholders can be confident in knowing that we're built for this. The work we've done to transform our company over the past eight years positions us to excel in any environment.”
Exxon Mobil CEO, on the earnings call
Forward Guidance & Outlook
ExxonMobil expects to deliver $18 billion of cumulative structural cost savings through the end of 2030 versus 2019. Ten advantaged projects starting up in 2025 are expected to generate more than $3 billion of earnings in 2026 at constant prices and margins. Cash capital expenditures are guided at $27 billion to $29 billion for the full year. The company plans to continue its $20 billion annual share-repurchase program through 2026. Production at the China Chemical Complex is ramping up throughout 2025.
XOM YoY Financials
Figures from SEC filings and company reports. Not investment advice.