HP Earnings and Guidance Still Sells Investors on the Value Case

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By Jon C. Ogg Updated Published
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Hewlett-Packard Co. (NYSE: HPQ) is out with its anticipated earnings report. The PC-maker and IT-services provider was up going into the close on hopes of a breakup or a buyout in the works. After Dell Inc. (NASDAQ: DELL) has become the subject of a management led buyout by founding CEO Michael Dell, there has been hope that perhaps HP would revisit its previous breakup or would move to unlock value.

Earnings were reported at $0.82 per share on a comparable basis, which is down 11% from the prior year but is still above its previously provided outlook of $0.68 to $0.71 per share. Its first quarter net revenue fell 6% down to $28.4 billion, but this would be down 4% when adjusted for the effects of currency. Thomson Reuters had estimates of $0.71 EPS and $27.8 billion in revenue. HP’s cash flow from operations was $2.6 billion, but its non-GAAP operating margin fell to 7.9% from 8.6% a year ago.

For the second quarter of fiscal 2013, HP sees $0.80 to $0.82 in non-GAAP earnings per share excluding after-tax costs of approximately $0.42 per share. The Thomson Reuters consensus is $0.77 per share.

For the full year fiscal 2013, it sees non-GAAP earnings of $3.40 to $3.60 per share excluding after-tax costs of approximately $1.10 per share. The consensus is $3.32.

HP shares closed up 2.4% at $17.10 on the day and shares are now up about 4.2% at $17.87 after the close. If you take a straight-line to its earnings forecast and maintain it indefinitely after this coming year based upon the closing bell price, HP trades at a mere 4.9-times forward earnings.

HP shares have not traded above $18 since last September. The argument remains ongoing whether HP is a true value stock or a real value trap.

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About the Author Jon C. Ogg →

Jon Ogg has been a financial news analyst since 1997. Mr. Ogg set up one of the first audio squawk box services for traders called TTN, which he sold in 2003. He has previously worked as a licensed broker to some of the top U.S. and E.U. financial institutions, managed capital, and has raised private capital at the seed and venture stage. He has lived in Copenhagen, Denmark, as well as New York and Chicago, and he now lives in Houston, Texas. Jon received a Bachelor of Business Administration in finance at University of Houston in 1992. www.247wallst.com.

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