Here is the issue at hand. There was a $6.6 billion rise in non-revolving credit, which accounts for things like car loans, mobile homes, boats, vacations, education, and the like. The consumers’ revolving credit, which is effectively credit cards, did decline again. The revolving credit was down $1.7 billion in January, a fraction of the near-$10 billion seen in December.
Some will point out that this is not as good of news because it is not revolving credit. At the end of the day, a recovery has to start somewhere. Consumers are still hesitating from loading up their credit cards, a trend we would expect to continue far beyond the recession even if incremental additions are seen in the coming months.
As a reminder, consumer credit does exclude housing and other secured loans for real estate and property. Before celebrating too much here, consider where we were a year ago.
JON C. OGG