Economy

UK Consumer Prices Fall for First Time Since 1960

Deflation, that ability to buy more goods and services for roughly the same amount, has started to take hold in the United Kingdom and threatens several other large economies. The trend could trigger stagnant wages as companies lose the ability to raise prices, and price increases could also erode, which might drag the United Kingdom back into recession. For April, the country’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) fell 0.1%.

The Office for National Statistics reported:

  • The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) fell by 0.1% in the year to April 2015, compared to no change (0.0%) in the year to March 2015.
  • This is the first time the CPI has fallen over the year since official records began in 1996 and the first time since 1960 based on comparable historic estimates.
  • The largest downward contribution came from transport services — notably air and sea fares, with the timing of Easter this year a likely factor.
  • CPIH (not a National Statistic) grew by 0.2% in the year to April 2015, down from 0.3% in March 2015.

Numbers for the United States are not much better. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics:

The Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) increased 0.2 percent in March on a seasonally adjusted basis, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Over the last 12 months, the all items index declined 0.1 percent before seasonal adjustment

Japan has been in a deflationary period for some time, according to most measurements. Even previously white-hot economies such as Singapore face the same problem. According to the Channel News Agency:

The Republic experienced deflation for the fifth consecutive month in March as the consumer price index (CPI) stayed in negative territory, according to figures released by the Department of Statistics

The U.K. numbers are the latest to show what has become an emerging world economic problem.

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