Economy

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No Recession Expected by Economists

ThinkstockIt may be that economists are wrong so often that their forecasts about growth and the odds for or against future recessions are of little value. Nevertheless, the National Association of Business Economics (NABE) July…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 12 years ago

Solid Weekly Jobless Claims Report From the Labor Department

Ed Brown, via Wikimedia CommonsThe U.S. Labor Department has released its weekly jobless claims. Frankly, the market already had a stellar unemployment and payrolls report last week, and this data was covering the Fourth…

Jon C. Ogg · 12 years ago

No Unemployment Relief for California Cities

ThinkstockWhile the nation’s unemployment rate dipped to 6.1% in June, which was heralded as substantial progress, the jobless rate in several of cities in California is double, or even triple, this national number. Because…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 12 years ago

CEO Confidence Slid Lower in Second Quarter

ThinkstockThe latest Conference Board Measure of CEO Confidence shows a decline in the second quarter after an increase in the first quarter. The index reading fell to 62 from 63 in the prior quarter.…

Jon C. Ogg · 12 years ago

Is the U.S. Headed Toward a Budget Surplus?

U.S. National Park ServiceThe last time the United States had a budget surplus was in 2001, according the White House. Unimaginably, it may have one again, and within a very few years. The Congressional…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 12 years ago

Are Lower Food Prices Coming?

ThinkstockCommodity prices for corn, wheat and soybeans have tumbled in the past three months and could fall even further as plenty of rain and warm — but not too warm — temperatures have boosted…

Paul Ausick · 12 years ago

Small Business Optimism Slips on Expectations of Weak Economy

ThinkstockThe National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) Tuesday morning reported that its small business optimism index for June fell 1.6 points from 96.6 in April to 95.0. The June reading breaks a string of…

Paul Ausick · 12 years ago

Good News on the Trade Deficit, Thanks to Petroleum

ThinkstockThe U.S. Department of Commerce has released its report on international trade in the month of May. This is known as the trade deficit to the rest of us. May’s trade deficit narrowed to…

Jon C. Ogg · 12 years ago

Unemployment and Payrolls From June Bring Great Progress in Jobs

Ed Brown, via Wikimedia CommonsThe U.S. Labor Department has released its June payrolls and unemployment report, and ADP’s gains on Wednesday turned out to be more accurate than many skeptics thought. Unemployment came in…

Jon C. Ogg · 12 years ago

What Happened to Normal 5% Unemployment?

ThinkstockUnemployment may drop as low as 6% in the next few months, down from the current 6.3% level. However, a recovered U.S. economy has been marked by a 5% jobless rate, which is months,…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 12 years ago

Two Strong Manufacturing Reports Signal Better Q2 GDP Reading

ThinkstockTuesday brought two manufacturing readings for measuring the U.S. economy. The data might be considered mixed when you look at the Markit PMI reading versus the ISM Manufacturing Index. Still, both point to a…

Jon C. Ogg · 12 years ago