Economy

All Economy Articles

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The Jobless Recovery Is Joined By A “Credit-Less” One

The economic recovery can only carry so much weight before it gets bogged down. It already faces unemployment that is 10% and may rise into next year. In 2011, personal and business taxes are scheduled…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 17 years ago

Big Ben Talks Down The Dollar

Friday’s surprisingly strong job report sent the dollar soaring (NYSE: FXE, FXB, FXA, FXY).  Skittish currency traders got the impression that the improvement in the job market might prompt the Fed to raise interest…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 17 years ago

Unemployment Declined In November

The nation’s headline unemployment number declined in November, from 10.2% to 10%.  Nonfarm payroll jobs declined by 11,000, with the average decline over the past three months being 135,000.  Job loses were primarily in…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 17 years ago

Jobless Data Staying in Right Direction

The Labor Department is out with the newest weekly jobless claims data.  The figure came in at 457,000 versus the estimates from Bloomberg of 485,000.  The preliminary unrevised figure a week ago was 466,000,…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 17 years ago

The Dow Heads Toward A 12,000 Year-End Close

It would have been preposterous to say the DJIA could close the year at 12,000 back in March when it dropped below 6,600. The market is up 60% since then and trades at nearly…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 17 years ago

The Federal Reserve Speaks With Forked Tongue

The minutes of The Federal Reserve Board and the Federal Open Market Committee for November 3 and November 4 are a study in contradiction and perhaps even confusion. Members of the committee almost all…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 17 years ago

FOMC Narrows Unemployment, Inflation and GDP Targets

The November 3 to 4 Minutes of the FOMC meeting are now out, and as you have been told over and over (and over and over)….  It has the flexibility to keep rates low…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 17 years ago

GDP Revisions Keep Recession at Bay

This morning we just received the first revision to third quarter Gross Domestic Product.  The original unrevised figure was reported +3.5% for Q3, and the revision came in at +2.8%.  Bloomberg had a consensus…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 17 years ago

US Recovery Expected To Outpace Europe

The OECD expects the economic recovery in the US to be significantly better than in Europe. In its new Economic Outlook survey the agency says US gross domestic product (GDP) is expected to grow by 2.5%…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 17 years ago

Obama Warns About “Double Dip” Recession

The President is supposed to talk about how much the economy is improving, not how bad it could be. Mr. Obama broke with the approach by saying that “It is important though to recognise if…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 17 years ago

One Million Americans Face Loss Of Jobless Benefits In January

The National Employment Law Project says that the public’s perception of what will happen to insurance benefits for the unemployed early next year is flawed. Most press reports on Congressional action on the matter…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 17 years ago

Unemployed, But Still A Homeowner

There were two speeches by senior members of the US government about unemployment yesterday. The one that received the most attention was Federal Reserve chief Ben Bernanke’s talk at the Economic Club of New…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 17 years ago

Unemployment: Then (1982) And Now

Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke commented today that he was concerned that the recovery will not be strong enough to support job growth next year. While the current recession in the United States has yet to be declared…

Douglas A. McIntyre · 17 years ago