Greenspan, Behind The Times, Sees 50%+ Risk Of Recession
If Alan Greenspan was a visionary at any point in his life, those days are behind him. According to Reuters, the aging former Fed chairman says there is more than a 50% chance that…
Economy
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Newest first · Page 412Wall St.’s New Superdelegates (GS)(MS)(JPM)(C)(MER)(AIG)
A decade ago, when there were big problems in the financial markets a very small group of people came in for the fix. E. Gerald Corrigan, a man of massive girth and intellect, ran…
Credit Trouble Bites Consumers Hard
Sometimes it takes experts a quarter or two to catch up with the real world. The American Bankers Association reports that during the fourth quarter of last year consumer credit payments fell behind more…
How Does A Market Move Up 400 Points On Bad News?
Rally caps were out in force yesterday with the Dow moving up almost 400 points. How and why it did that in a day of predominantly bad news is hard to fathom. The FT…
“QUANTS GONE WILD” – THE SUBPRIME CRISIS
Commentary by A.W. Bodine and C.J. Nagel, faculty at Concordia College–New YorkMarch 26, 2008 With world markets off 20%, Bear Stearns imploding and public companies having lost US$5 trillion in value, politicians and regulators…
Consumer Confidence, Bad & Getting Worse
The Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index has just posted another large decline. The March readings came in at 64.5, which is well under what we had listed as 73.0 consensus estimates from Wall Street…
Selling A Piece Of The Federal Reserve
There is growing concern about where the Fed will get the hundreds of billions of dollars it will need to bail-out failing banks and brokerages. Most economists point to the tax-payer as the ultimate…
Big Mergers For A Recession Economy
Many investors find it hard to believe that some of the largest companies in the country could be taken over and cease to be independent public companies. In a very deep recession, which the…
FOMC Goes Three-Quarters Of The Way
The FOMC has made its rate cut, although not quite as much as Wall Street was talking up. Wall Street wanted a 100-basis point cut or 1 full point. We got a 3/4-3/4 cut…
High PPI More Honest Than CPI, FOMC Has To Look Past It
This morning we saw February Producer Prices come out with a gain of +0.3%, and that is after a +1% gain in January. The core rate on an ex-food and energy basis rose +0.5%. …
What Stocks Aren’t Dropping, Much (MSFT)(GE)(CSCO)(INTC)(DELL)(QCOM)(AAPL)
For those intrepid enough to go into the market today, there are some stocks that are down under 1%. Some are even up slightly. A shopping list for the insane: Micrsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT), GE (NYSE:GE),…
Asia: No Protection From US Financial Problems
Some bright person came up with the term "decoupling". It is meant to say that trouble in the US economy will not spread to the hot economies is Asia. Perhaps it gives them some…
Will The Fed Put Up $500 Billion?
The Fed has already provided a facility of $200 billion to banks to help them improve balance sheets by exchange some of their less-than-liquid and less-than-valuable paper for real honest-to-God money from the government.…
What If The Fed Only Cuts Half A Point?
"If wishes were horses, all the beggars would ride." The market expects the Fed to take rates down .75% this week. According to MarketWatch "After the Bear Stearns news, market bets that the central…
CPI Running Mysteriously Low
This morning the market got a recovery boost on lower Consumer Price Index "CPI" numbers that measure inflation. The problem is that they are almost unbelievable. Even CNBC commentators noted these may all be…