The Congressional Budget Office gave the Democrats the broadsword that they’ve needed. A number of media outlets report that a CBO analysis of the reform package determined it will cost $940 billion over the next decade and reduce the deficit by $130 billion during that period. From 2020 to 2029, the program will supposedly reduce the deficit by $1.2 trillion. The legislation will cover 32 million Americans, about nine out of ten Americans who do not have insurance.
Forecasts that cover a period of ten years are very unreliable. Even predictions a year in advance can differ dramatically from reality, especially when they involve the economy. In 2006, housing prices were supposed to rise 20% a year without fail.
The CBO analysis may be off by an unimaginable amount, but it will not matter much today. The Democrats have fought for healthcare reform for a year. It appeared that they only need one event to tip the scales in their direction, and they have gotten it.
-Douglas A. McIntyre