Health and Healthcare

Is AVEO the Next Aquinox for Traders?

AVEO Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: AVEO) made waves in early trading indications Monday on news of a licensing agreement with Novartis A.G. (NYSE: NVS). Both companies announced an exclusive, worldwide license agreement for the development and commercialization of AVEO’s humanized inhibitory antibody targeting growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15), AV-380 and related antibodies.

Over the past month, AVEO has suffered, and shares were down nearly 28% to Friday’s close. This deal with Novartis is a welcome savior to this recent slide. What will be interesting to see in Monday’s trading session and throughout the week is if traders will treat AVEO the same way that Aquinox Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ: AQXP) was treated in the past week.

Under its terms of the agreement with Novartis, AVEO will receive an upfront payment of $15 million and will be eligible to receive reimbursement, clinical, sales and regulatory-based milestone payments totaling $311 million, assuming a successful advancement. The company also will be eligible to receive tiered royalties on product sales ranging from high single digits to a low double digit. Novartis will be responsible for all clinical development, manufacturing and commercialization activities and costs associated with the product.

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For some background: Cachexia is a complex metabolic syndrome associated with malnutrition and severe involuntary weight loss due to the loss of muscle and fat tissue, as well as the clinical manifestation of anemia, inflammation and suppression of immune functions. While GDF15 is a pro-inflammatory cytokine whose elevated circulating levels have been correlated with cachexia in cachectic cancer patients and several animal models of cancer cachexia.

Preclinical data show that inhibition of GDF15 results in a switch from catabolism to anabolism, suggesting that GDF15 inhibition with AV-380 may reverse the effects of cachexia.

Michael Bailey, president and CEO of AVEO, said:

AV-380 holds great promise as a potential treatment for cachexia secondary to multiple disease states, including cancer, chronic kidney disease, congestive heart failure and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. Novartis brings resources and expertise to bear on advancing this program, which we believe provides the optimal path forward toward realizing its full potential.

In early trading Monday, AVEO shares were up 88% at $2.20. The stock has a consensus analyst price target of $3.00.

Novartis shares down 0.2% at $102.27, and the consensus price target is $113.50.

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