Investing

Top Earnings Previews For The Week Ahead (FMCN, COCO, HNZ, TSL, WSM, AEO, AMAT, GES, TOL, ENER, KKD, OVTI, P)

Wednesday, August 24

American Eagle Outfitters Inc. (NYSE: AEO) has estimates of $0.11 EPS and $650.78 million in revenues; next quarter estimates are $0.27 EPS and $766.95 million in revenues.  Shares are trading around $11.10 and the 52-week trading range is $10.80 to $17.46.  With this one down so close to a year low, we wonder how much softness is not already priced into the shares already.

Applied Materials Inc. (NASDAQ: AMAT) has estimates of $0.33 EPS and $2.68 billion in revenues; next quarter estimates are $0.33 EPS and $2.66 billion in revenues.  Shares are trading around $11.00 and the 52-week trading range is $10.27 to $16.93.  Applied is the king of semiconductor cap-ex spending.  The stock has lost one-third of its peak value and it is valued at low earnings multiples as are so many key technology stocks.  The question is simple… Even as chips have to migrate smaller and smaller for consumer electronics, laptops, netbooks, tablets, and smartphones, are chip companies going to keep spending more on cap-ex as the economy is slowing?

Guess Inc. (NYSE: GES) has estimates of $0.81 EPS and $656.38 million in revenues; next quarter estimates are $0.85 EPS and $689.92 million in revenues.  Shares are trading around $31.00 and the 52-week trading range is $30.44 to $51.53.  It is rare to see this apparel and retailer down 40% from highs yet here we are.

Toll Brothers Inc. (NYSE: TOL) has estimates of $0.03 EPS and $406.28 million in revenues; next quarter estimates are $0.07 EPS and $439.22 million in revenues.  Wait a minute… POSITIVE EARNINGS?  It seems so.  Shares are trading around $15.23 and the 52-week trading range is $15.13 (hit Friday) to $22.42.

Thursday, August 25

Energy Conversion Devices Inc. (NASDAQ: ENER) has estimates of -$0.54 EPS and $39.22 million in revenues; next quarter estimates are -$0.41 EPS and $52.54 million in revenues.  Shares are trading around $0.70 and the 52-week trading range is $0.67 (hit Friday) to $5.38.  Seeing the bankruptcy of Evergreen Solar this last week has many investors wondering which other players in alternative energy are at risk.  A guest on CNBC threw this company name out there this week as one that was at risk as well.

Krispy Kreme Doughnuts Inc. (NYSE: KKD) has estimates of $0.06 EPS and $92.26 million in revenues; next quarter estimates are $0.06 EPS and $94.87 million in revenues.  Shares are trading around $7.37 and the 52-week trading range is $3.55 to $10.08.

Omnivision Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ: OVTI) has estimates of $0.72 EPS and $276.59 million in revenues; next quarter estimates are $0.82 EPS and $306.37 million in revenues.  Shares are trading around $24.15 and the 52-week trading range is $18.42 to $37.04.  This one has sold off despite its expected growth due to the growth of cameras on smartphones (and regular phones).

Pandora Media Inc. (NYSE: P) has estimates of $0.00 EPS and $60.26 million in revenues; next quarter estimates are -$0.01 EPS and $68.23 million in revenues.  Shares are trading around $13.20 and the post-IPO trading range is $11.00 to $26.00.  This will mark Pandora’s first true earnings report.  Many have questioned the model.  The more it grows, the more its costs rise.  There is a question of scalability here.  Our big question is that we have no way to know if the company’s estimates by analysts are representative of reality or if the numbers will be grossly different.

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JON C. OGG

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