Factory Orders Take Unexpected Drop in Germany

The German Economy Ministry reported this morning that the new factory orders index fell by -2.7% in January, following a rise of 1.6% in December. Observers had been expecting a rise of 0.6% in January, and to say the drop…

Published March 7, 2012, 6:54am ET · 1 min read

The German Economy Ministry reported this morning that the new factory orders index fell by -2.7% in January, following a rise of 1.6% in December. Observers had been expecting a rise of 0.6% in January, and to say the drop was a surprise is putting it mildly. Fully adjusted, the decline totals -4.9% from January of 2011.

Germany, which has prospered on both its exports and its strong internal demand, posted a -8.6% decline in orders from outside the eurozone and a -0.4% drop in new orders from its eurozone partners. Domestic orders rose 1% in January.

Germany’s DAX index, which has risen about 13% this year, immediately fell -0.3% on the report.

The country’s economy depends on exports, both to the rest of the eurozone and to the rest of the world. Its domestic economy has been sound, but though large, it is not large enough to support continuing declines in exports.

This could just be a blip, or it could by symptomatic of a larger-than-expected decline in eurozone economic growth this year.

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Paul Ausick

Paul Ausick has been writing for 247Wallst.com for more than a decade. He has written extensively on investing in the energy, defense, and technology sectors. In a previous life, he wrote technical documentation and managed a marketing communications group in Silicon Valley.

He has a bachelor's degree in English from the University of Chicago and now lives in Montana, where he fishes for trout in the summer and stays inside during the winter.

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