A Cautious Outlook on Oracle from Canaccord Genuity (ORCL)

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By Jon C. Ogg Published

Canaccord Genuity may have raised its target from $48 to $30 on Oracle Corporation (NASDAQ: ORCL) this morning, but the overall tone is one of caution on valuation.

The report noted, “Guidance is slightly lower than the mid–point. We’ve rolled through the lower tax rate, which boosts reported EPS although revenue growth (constant currency or adjusted) is a shade lower than our previous forecast at 2% for May and 8% for F2013.”

It also noted, “The fact is that Oracle is not growing particularly rapidly, and despite an extended discussion to the contrary the firm is facing a tougher group of competitors. We suspect that this realization probably accounts for the stock’s underperformance versus the market on 12- and six- month periods and a market performer post the December 20 earnings miss.”    The other caution now is that Oracle is currently not ahead of its competitors in software architecture or business momentum and is playing catch-up.

Canaccord Genuity is just maintaining a HOLD rating today.

JON C. OGG

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About the Author Jon C. Ogg →

Jon Ogg has been a financial news analyst since 1997. Mr. Ogg set up one of the first audio squawk box services for traders called TTN, which he sold in 2003. He has previously worked as a licensed broker to some of the top U.S. and E.U. financial institutions, managed capital, and has raised private capital at the seed and venture stage. He has lived in Copenhagen, Denmark, as well as New York and Chicago, and he now lives in Houston, Texas. Jon received a Bachelor of Business Administration in finance at University of Houston in 1992. www.247wallst.com.

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