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If You Invested $1,000 in Bitcoin on Inauguration Day 2025, Here’s What You’d Have Now

On January 20, 2025, Donald Trump was officially inaugurated as the 47th President of the United States. Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) briefly rallied to $109,000 within a few hours before retracing to $102,000 as the initial inauguration hype faded. A $1,000…

By Sam Daodu
Published May 19, 2026, 5:40pm ET · 3 min read

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A man in a light blue shirt and grey tie sits in a black office chair, holding a white mug. He looks towards a large, glowing golden Bitcoin symbol surrounded by orange digital circuit lines and binary code (0s and 1s) against a dark blue background.
A professional contemplates the glowing Bitcoin symbol amidst a digital network, reflecting on the evolving landscape of cryptocurrency and its inherent security challenges. © Who is Danny / Shutterstock.com

On January 20, 2025, Donald Trump was officially inaugurated as the 47th President of the United States. Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) briefly rallied to $109,000 within a few hours before retracing to $102,000 as the initial inauguration hype faded.

A $1,000 investment in Bitcoin that day would have bought roughly 0.0098 BTC. With BTC now trading near $76,000, that holding would be worth around $745 today. We look at how your wallet has performed since Inauguration Day and what needs to happen to be back in positive territory.

How a $1,000 Bitcoin Investment on Trump’s Inauguration Day Played Out

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The $1,000 BTC investment bought at $102,000 on Inauguration Day has ridden sharp rallies and major declines. The market quickly turned lower, with Bitcoin slipping to $100,600 by February 1, which cut the investment value to roughly $986.

Bitcoin’s selling pressure intensified in March, with the coin dropping as low as $77,400 before closing Q1 2025 at $82,445—down 19.2% from the $102,000 entry point, which reduced the original $1,000 investment to $808.

The trend reversed in Q2 2025 as Bitcoin rallied nearly 30% from $82,500 to $107,150. During that recovery, the investment value rebounded to $1,050, briefly returning the position to positive territory. Bitcoin maintained bullish momentum in Q3, posting modest gains in July (8.2%) and September (5.31%), despite the 6.43% loss in August capping quarterly gains at 6.40%. Bitcoin climbed from $107,150 to $114,000 by the end of the quarter, which lifted the $1,000 investment to around $1,118.

Bitcoin reached its $126,000 ATH on October 6, which briefly took the investment to $1,235. However, market sentiment flipped into bearish territory in Q4 2025—Bitcoin fell 23%—and stayed bearish through Q1 2026 (-22%), with five consecutive monthly losses between October 2025 and February 2026. Bitcoin fell to $68,200 at the end of Q1 2026, which turned the investment value to roughly $669.

Now, with five weeks left in Q2 2026, Bitcoin has resumed its recovery again, with the quarter currently posting gains of 12.5%. Bitcoin has reclaimed $76,000 as of May 19, and at that price, the $1,000 investment is currently worth about $745, marking a 25.5% loss from the original value.

Factors That Could Put the $1,000 Bitcoin Investment Back in Bullish Territory

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Bitcoin is currently battling negative momentum, but two key catalysts could reverse the negative trend and put the investment position back toward profits.

The first is the CLARITY Act, which cleared the Senate Banking Committee on May 14. The SEC and CFTC have already classified Bitcoin and other major cryptos as digital commodities. However, the CLARITY Act would formally cement this status and integrate crypto into the U.S. financial system.

The next regulatory steps are a Senate vote, House approval, and presidential sign-off. If the full Senate and House vote happens in June and the bill is signed into law in the first week of July, Bitcoin could rally above $100,000 entering Q3 as regulatory uncertainty fades. At that level, the $1,000 investment would recover to $980, cutting losses to around 2%.

The second catalyst is ETF inflows, which have helped Bitcoin maintain a positive performance in Q2 2026. Bitcoin ETFs recorded around $1.32 billion in inflows in March, and $1.97 billion in April, but momentum has weakened in May, with five days of outflows recorded in the last seven days. This downturn has dragged BTC below the key $80,000 support level held since May 5.

If inflows return at around $300 million per day, Bitcoin could reclaim $100,000 in Q3, giving it enough demand to absorb the profit-taking that would follow. From there, a sustained rally to $150,000 in Q4 2026 would lift the $1,000 investment to about $1,470, marking a 47% gain.

Where the $1,000 Bitcoin Investment Could Go From Here

The $1,000 Bitcoin investment remains in a fragile position in Q2 2026, but the downside from $76,000 is more contained than it was at $102,000 in January, while the upside to $100,000-$150,000 remains open if both catalysts land.

However, if geopolitical tensions worsen with the U.S. attacking Iran and peace negotiations fail, investors could rotate away from Bitcoin to traditional safer alternatives like Gold and Oil. In that scenario, Bitcoin could slide toward $70,000, which cuts the investment to $686, delaying any recovery back towards the $980 break-even level.

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Sam Daodu

Sam Daodu is a crypto analyst and the editor of 24/7 Wall St.'s Crypto Desk, where he covers Bitcoin, XRP, Ethereum, Solana and the altcoins investors search for most. His work focuses on price levels, spot ETF flows, on-chain data and the regulatory decisions that move crypto markets, written so a first-time buyer and a seasoned trader can both use it.
Sam has written about crypto professionally since 2019 and has published more than 2,000 articles. Before joining 24/7 Wall St., he wrote for crypto media outlets and Web3 companies and ghostwrote for crypto founders and token launches. His analysis is syndicated on Yahoo Finance, MSN and AOL and has been cited by other crypto news sites. He also founded MacLabs Marketing, a content and personal branding agency for crypto founders and executives.
When he isn't reading charts, Sam is usually at the gym or watching One Piece, a series he maintains has better tokenomics than most altcoins.

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