Palantir Is Down 6% Today and 40% in 2026. Will It Break Below $100 Next?

Shares of Palantir (NASDAQ:PLTR | PLTR Price Prediction) stock are down 6% in Thursday morning trading, changing hands near $106.50 after a prior close of $113.50. The move drops PLTR stock to its lowest level in over a year, deepening a string of fresh 52-week lows.

Zoom out and the picture is rougher, as Palantir stock is now down roughly 40% in 2026. June is shaping up to be Palantir’s worst month on record.

With PLTR stock now hovering just above $100, the question everyone is asking is whether the next leg drags Palantir shares through that round number. It’s a genuine open question rather than a confident forecast.

No Single Fresh Catalyst, Just a Continuing Derating

There’s no fresh headline driving today’s specific drop in Palantir stock. Instead, PLTR is caught in a broader software and AI selloff that some traders have nicknamed the “SaaSpocalypse,” a repricing of richly valued software names amid fears that AI agents could erode traditional enterprise subscription models. Interest-rate pressure on the software group is adding to the squeeze.

The valuation sits at the center of the Palantir story. Recent coverage cited a trailing P/E ratio near 144x, and other readings put Palantir’s P/E ratio at 160x with a price-to-book ratio of 35x and a free-cash-flow yield under 1%. Numbers like that leave little room for disappointment when capital rotates out of expensive software, and Palantir has been at the front of that rotation.

Company-specific overhangs are not helping. Reports indicate that France’s domestic intelligence agency is transitioning off Palantir’s tools to domestic provider ChapsVision, and the UK National Health Service (NHS) contract is drawing renewed scrutiny. Both raise questions about Palantir’s international public-sector growth runway.

The technical picture has also turned. Michael Burry of “The Big Short” fame has a publicized short position on Palantir and has been taking a victory lap as momentum wanes, trading volume declines, and a key support level on PLTR stock has given way to fresh 52-week lows.

The Bull Case Hasn’t Disappeared

Palantir’s underlying business still looks strong on paper. Q1 2026 revenue hit $1.63 billion, up 85% year over year, with U.S. revenue up 104% and U.S. commercial revenue up 133% to $595 million. Furthermore, Palantir’s GAAP operating income reached $754 million, a 46% margin, and the company closed 206 deals of $1 million or more with total contract value of $2.41 billion.

Palantir’s management responded by raising its full-year 2026 revenue guidance to $7.65 billion to $7.66 billion, with U.S. commercial guided above $3.22 billion and adjusted free cash flow guided to $4.2 billion to $4.4 billion. Additionally, Palantir’s “Rule of 40” score sat at 145%, a combination of growth and profitability few software peers can match.

Sentiment readings on PLTR are also stretched. Recent coverage notes that Palantir stock’s RSI has slipped into the mid-30s, traditionally an oversold zone where bounces can develop, and ARK Invest has reportedly been buying the dip.

Yet, the bear case still carries weight. Extreme multiples, the sector-wide software derating, the European contract setbacks, and downside momentum that includes Palantir’s worst month on record all argue the slide could extend. StockTwits chatter suggests that many retail traders are watching the $100 line specifically, with some saying they would step in if PLTR dips below it.

What to Watch Next

The next scheduled catalyst for Palantir is the Q2 2026 earnings report, with management guiding to revenue of $1.797 billion to $1.801 billion. Until then, PLTR stock is likely to move with the broader software group and any further headlines around its international contracts.

Investors can watch for whether PLTR stock holds the $100 line into the close, and whether oversold conditions attract dip-buyers or simply mark a pause before another leg lower. The $100 figure is a psychological level rather than a chart-based target, and it’s a level that traders are clearly watching.

Either way, the next few sessions can help clarify whether Palantir is in for a deeper de-rating or is just quietly building a base. With CEO Alex Karp’s positive commentary on AI momentum still on the record and U.S. growth running hot, the fundamentals and the chart on PLTR stock are telling very different stories right now. Patience and modest position sizing remain reasonable approaches for anyone weighing a Palantir share stake here.